Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
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756 FXUS62 KMLB 301755 AFDMLB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 155 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024 ...New AVIATION... .AVIATION... (18Z TAFs) Issued at 155 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024 The east coast sea breeze has moved inland of the coastal terminals. Low confidence in lightning at the coastal terminals, and have kept mention of VCSH late this afternoon. VCTS continues through the afternoon and evening at the interior terminals with TSRA TEMPOs for reduced VIS/CIGs in convection. VCSH lingering across the interior terminals through the evening until around 03Z. Easterly winds around 7-9 kts become light and variable overnight. && .UPDATE... Issued at 1020 AM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Mid level disturbance near Grand Bahama Island early this morning will continue to move toward the SW today across S FL then the Straits of FL tonight. This feature brought scattered showers and lightning storms to portions of the Treasure coast and adjacent Atlc waters this morning. Morning Cape sounding shows a deep N to NE flow through the column along with deep moisture with precip water of 2.29". The east coast sea breeze will develop by early afternoon and push inland, sparking scattered to numerous showers and lightning storms. The focus for storms will shift from just inland from the coast to the interior. So have lowered PoPs along the Volusia coast. Localized flooding resulting from a quick 1 to 3 inches of rain will be possible esp in urban locations and where recent heavy rains have fallen. Frequent lightning strikes will also be a threat. A reminder that lightning can occur well away from a parent storm where it is not yet raining or has stopped raining. If thunder is heard, seek shelter in an enclosed building or hard-topped automobile. Picnic shelters, dugouts and screen porches offer no protection from the dangers of lightning. The debris clouds from previous convection across the south will gradually thin allowing max temps to warm into the upper 80s/near 90 while widespread lower 90s will occur across northern interior sections. Peak heat indices near 105. && .MARINE... Issued at 222 AM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Today-Thursday... A ridge of high pressure will remain just north of the local Atlantic waters, with predominant southeast breezes from 5- 12 KT each day. Winds will turn offshore around 5 KT near the coast in the overnight hours. Seas generally 2 FT or less through Tuesday, then 2-3 FT on Wednesday & Thursday. Scattered showers and isolated lightning storms are possible each day, though there will be a lot of dry time. Offshore-moving storms appear unlikely. Intracoastal and inshore boaters will find a light to moderate chop each afternoon. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 75 93 77 91 / 20 40 20 50 MCO 74 92 76 92 / 30 50 20 70 MLB 75 92 77 91 / 20 50 20 50 VRB 74 92 76 91 / 20 50 20 60 LEE 76 93 77 93 / 50 60 30 70 SFB 75 94 77 93 / 30 50 20 60 ORL 76 93 77 93 / 30 50 20 60 FPR 74 91 76 91 / 20 60 20 60 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. && $$ UPDATE...Kelly AVIATION...Law