Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
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914 FXUS62 KMLB 010550 AFDMLB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 150 AM EDT Mon Jul 1 2024 ...New AVIATION... .AVIATION... (06Z TAFs) Issued at 150 AM EDT Mon Jul 1 2024 VFR and a lot of dry time is expected at sites north of the Treasure Coast today. SSE winds begin to increase after 15z, increasing to around 10-12 kt at coastal sites 18z-20z. VCTS begins 17z, lasting as long as 23z from VRB southward, as the east coast breeze becomes more active with SHRA/TSRA. Brief MVFR conds are possible here. A lower-confidence forecast for VCTS exists from LEE to MCO after 20z-23z. Activity everywhere will wane after 02z-04z Tue. && .UPDATE... Issued at 929 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Current KMLB radar imagery shows mostly dry weather over east central Florida with a few light isolated showers/sprinkles over the local Atlantic, as well as Volusia county. Current temperatures are in the upper 70s to low 80s with dew points in the low to upper 70s. Analysis charts show a mid level trough to the northeast over the eastern CONUS with a mid/upper level ridge building over the central CONUS. Isolated to scattered showers and isolated lightning storms are forecast overnight over the local Atlantic. A slight chances exists for isolated showers and lightning storms (20%) to move onshore along the Martin county coast into Monday morning. South to southwest winds are forecast to become light and variable overnight with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Overnight low temperatures are forecast to drop into the low to upper 70s. && .MARINE... Issued at 239 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024 A ridge of high pressure will remain just north of the local Atlantic waters, with predominant south to southeast breezes increasing 10-12 KT each day behind the sea breeze. Winds will turn offshore around 5 KT near the coast in the overnight hours. Seas generally 2 FT or less through Tuesday, then 2-3 FT on Wednesday & Thursday. Scattered showers and isolated lightning storms are possible each day, though there will be a lot of dry time. Offshore-moving storms appear unlikely. Intracoastal and inshore boaters will find a light to moderate chop each afternoon. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 94 77 92 77 / 40 40 40 20 MCO 93 77 93 77 / 50 50 70 20 MLB 91 77 91 78 / 40 30 50 20 VRB 91 75 91 77 / 40 30 50 20 LEE 94 78 94 79 / 60 50 70 20 SFB 94 77 94 77 / 50 50 60 20 ORL 94 77 93 78 / 50 50 70 20 FPR 91 75 91 76 / 50 30 50 20 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. && $$ UPDATE...Fehling AVIATION...Schaper