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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
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750 FXUS62 KMLB 130531 AFDMLB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 131 AM EDT Sat Jul 13 2024 ...New AVIATION... .AVIATION... (06Z TAFs) Issued at 125 AM EDT Sat Jul 13 2024 VFR conditions are forecast through the period. Light and variable winds early this morning with VCSH possible along the Treasure Coast after 15Z as the east coast sea breeze gradually develops. Winds will become southeasterly along the coast after 17Z as the east coast sea breeze moves inland, with VCTS possible along it. The sea breeze will reach the interior around 19Z, with increasing showers and storms forecast through the remainder of the afternoon. Confidence in exact timing remains low right now, so held off on adding TEMPOs in, but will reevaluate with the next package. Activity is forecast to gradually diminish around 02Z, with winds becoming light and variable to calm once more at all terminals overnight. && .UPDATE... Issued at 952 PM EDT Fri Jul 12 2024 Tonight...Radar is mostly quiet with a few light showers along the Treasure Coast and near Lake Okeechobee. This shower activity will continue to diminish, and any overnight showers should be limited to the local Atlantic waters. Evening temperatures in the low to mid 80s will gradually fall into the mid to upper 70s by sunrise. Partly cloudy skies will persist. && .MARINE... Issued at 206 PM EDT Fri Jul 12 2024 A surface ridge axis will maintain its position near or over the local Atlantic for several days to come, allowing winds to turn SE 5- 12 KT. The daily sea breeze circulation will be unimpeded, with nearshore winds increasing to ESE 10-15 KT each afternoon. Shower and storm coverage will be lower over the weekend and into early next week compared to the past couple of days, but we will keep 30- 40% chances especially at night and in the morning hours. Seas 2-3 FT, except up to around 4 FT in the offshore waters Sunday into Monday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 94 77 93 76 / 50 30 50 30 MCO 94 77 95 77 / 70 20 70 20 MLB 91 77 91 77 / 40 30 40 20 VRB 91 76 92 76 / 40 30 40 20 LEE 94 79 94 78 / 70 20 70 30 SFB 95 77 94 77 / 70 20 70 20 ORL 95 78 95 78 / 70 20 70 20 FPR 91 76 92 76 / 40 20 40 20 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. && $$ UPDATE...Law AVIATION...Tollefsen