312
FXUS62 KMLB 160604
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
204 AM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 200 AM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

Similar setup tomorrow as drier air south of KMLB and faster
inland movement of the east coast sea breeze keeping rain chances
very limited from KVRB-KSUA. Isolated showers and storms may
develop near KTIX-KDAB as east coast sea breeze forms in the
early afternoon, but greatest convective coverage will be across
inland TAF sites, around 19-00Z, as sea breeze moves inland and
where boundary interactions are more likely. Maintained VCTS at
MLB and added TEMPO groups for MVFR conds in TSRA at
DAB/TIX/MCO/SFB/LEE from 20Z-23Z. Winds becoming S to SE 5-6 knots
after sunrise backing E/SE around 10 knots behind the sea breeze
aft 16Z at coastal terminals. Diurnal convection should diminish
by 02-03Z followed by a quiet/VFR overnight.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 953 PM EDT Mon Jul 15 2024

Light rain from previous convection along the I-4 corridor will
diminish by late evening, as will lingering shower/isolated storm
activity across southern Osceola and northern Okeechobee counties.
Mostly dry conditions then expected overnight, except for along
the Treasure Coast where isolated onshore moving showers will
continue to be possible overnight. Additional isolated showers and
storms may continue to develop over the gulf stream waters after
midnight through early morning Tuesday. Similar to last night,
interior locations that saw the greatest coverage of showers and
storms, as well as Volusia County will see temps remain fairly
steady in the mid to upper 70s for the reminder of the night.
Farther south across Okeechobee County and along much of the
coast temps are currently in the low to mid 80s, but will see
these values drop to the mid to upper 70s as well overnight.
Debris cloud cover will gradually fade with skies becoming mostly
clear to partly cloudy late tonight.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 223 PM EDT Mon Jul 15 2024

Boating conditions remain favorable over the next few days. As high
pressure holds sway, light southerly winds at night turn SE during
the day, increasing to 10-15 KT, especially near the coast with the
sea breeze. There is a 20-40% chance for showers and isolated
storms, primarily during the overnight and morning hours. Seas
generally 2-3 FT, occasionally up to 4 FT beyond 40 NM.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  93  75  93  76 /  60  30  40  10
MCO  94  76  95  77 /  70  30  40  10
MLB  90  76  91  78 /  40  20  20  10
VRB  92  75  92  76 /  30  10  20  10
LEE  94  77  94  78 /  70  30  60  10
SFB  94  76  95  77 /  70  30  40  10
ORL  94  77  95  78 /  70  30  40  10
FPR  92  74  92  76 /  30  10  20  10

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Weitlich
AVIATION...Kelly