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Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
130 FNUS76 KMFR 112249 FWSMFR Spot Forecast for Warner Peak...LIFC National Weather Service MEDFORD OR 349 PM PDT Sun Aug 11 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 PDT on August 12. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...It will be just a couple degrees cooler on Monday, with humidity levels similar to Sunday, but also with slightly stronger, breezy afternoon westerly winds. Moisture aloft increases early Monday evening, with just enough instability to warrant including a slight chance (10%) of thunderstorms into late Monday night. If there is a thunderstorm, it would be dry. Cooler temperatures and higher humidity will be more apparent on Tuesday, with a slight decrease in afternoon winds, though very weak instability will again develop. Similarly, it is again prudent to mention a slight chance/10% probability of a thunderstorm for the afternoon and evening. On the bright side, the outlook for receiving rainfall from any thunderstorms is better. Nearly as cool, but stable conditions are expected to follow during the remainder of the week. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny with smoke (15-25 percent). Slight chance (10%) of thunderstorms after 5 PM. Max temperature.....Around 80. Min humidity........10-13 percent. Eye level winds.....Southwest winds 2 to 5 mph increasing to 5 to 8 mph with gusts to around 15 mph. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 12 mph increasing to 13 to 17 mph with gusts to around 28 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near any thunderstorms. Mixing height.......9700 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph. CWR.................0 percent. LAL.................1. .MONDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy with smoke (35-45 percent). Slight chance (10%) of thunderstorms from 5 PM through 3 AM. Min temperature.....Around 49. Max humidity........63-68 percent. Eye level winds.....West winds 3 to 7 mph with gusts to around 12 mph until 10 pm, then decreasing to northwest 1 to 4 mph. Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 to 14 mph with gusts to around 22 mph until 10 pm, then decreasing to northwest 3 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near any thunderstorms. Mixing height.......0 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West around 14 mph. CWR.................0 percent. LAL.................1. .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny with smoke (25-35 percent). Slight chance of thunderstorms (10%) after noon. Max temperature.....Around 74. Min humidity........20 percent. Eye level winds.....West winds 3 to 6 mph increasing to southwest 4 to 8 mph with gusts to 12 mph in the afternoon. Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 12 mph becoming southwest winds 10 to 15 with gusts to around 22 mph in the afternoon. Mixing height.......9700 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest around 16 mph. CWR.................0 percent. LAL.................1. $$ Forecaster...WEYGAND Requested by...Zachary Hutchins Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2420040.2/MFR .DELDT 08/11/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL orlfc@firenet.gov, sturnerforestry@gmail.com