Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
610 FNUS76 KMFR 122340 FWSMFR Spot Forecast for Warner Peak...USFWS National Weather Service MEDFORD OR 440 PM PDT Mon Aug 12 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2000 PDT on August 12. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...Slightly cooler than normal temperatures and slightly higher than normal humidities with typical afternoon and early evening breezes expected through the rest of the week. Winds will likely shift frequently due to eddies originating from the escarpment and high terrain along the western edge of the fire. An isolated thunderstorm is possible through late Monday evening, with the primary concern being strong outflow winds, especially from any storms that develop to the south and west of the fire. Additional convective chances arrive Wednesday and especially Thursday afternoons. .REST OF TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming mostly clear (5-15 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. Min temperature.....Around 53. Max humidity........57 percent. Eye level winds.....West winds around 5-8 mph with gusts to 15 mph shifting to the north late in the evening, then becoming light overnight. Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph shifting to the north late in the evening, then becoming light overnight. CWR.................0 percent. LAL.................1. TIME (PDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky cover.......PC PC PC PC PC PC CLR CLR CLR MCR Weather cov.....SCH SCH DEF ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS Weather type....RW RW HAZ SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............71 67 65 63 60 58 57 55 55 54 RH..............22 26 32 41 46 49 53 54 54 55 20 FT wind dir..W W W N N N NE NE NE S 20 FT wind spd..14 11 7 6 6 5 1 1 1 4 20 FT wind gust.22 18 10 8 8 8 4 4 4 7 Eye lvl wnd dir.W W W N N N NE NE NE S Eye lvl wnd spd.5 4 3 2 2 2 0 0 0 2 Eye lvl wnd gst.9 7 5 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Max temperature.....Around 75, to around 65 along the western ridgeline. Min humidity........20 percent. Eye level winds.....West to southwest 6-8 mph with gusts up to 15 mph. Wind (20 ft)........West to southwest 10-15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. CWR.................0 percent. LAL.................1. TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR Weather cov.....ARS ARS PTY PTY DEF DEF PTY PTY PTY PTY Weather type....SMK SMK SMK SMK HAZ HAZ SMK SMK SMK SMK Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............53 54 57 58 63 66 66 69 71 72 73 73 RH..............56 53 51 50 44 37 36 30 27 24 22 20 20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W 20 FT wind spd..5 5 7 7 8 11 11 12 12 13 15 15 20 FT wind gust.7 7 11 11 12 17 18 21 21 22 25 25 Eye lvl wnd dir.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W Eye lvl wnd spd.2 2 3 3 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 8 Eye lvl wnd gst.3 3 4 4 6 9 10 11 12 13 13 15 .TUESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Min temperature.....Around 50. Max humidity........50-55 percent. Eye level winds.....West 3-6 mph with gusts to 12 mph, becoming south to southwest 2-3 mph overnight. Wind (20 ft)........West 5-12 mph with gusts to 18 mph, becoming south to southwest 3-5 mph overnight. CWR.................0 percent. LAL.................1. TIME (PDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky cover.......MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY DEF PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY Weather type....SMK SMK SMK HAZ SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............71 70 66 63 61 58 56 54 53 52 51 50 RH..............21 22 24 25 30 33 37 42 47 50 52 53 20 FT wind dir..W W N N N N N N N N N S 20 FT wind spd..14 12 9 5 4 7 7 7 4 4 4 1 20 FT wind gust.22 20 16 8 6 11 11 11 6 6 6 4 Eye lvl wnd dir.W W N N N N N N N N N S Eye lvl wnd spd.8 6 5 3 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 0 Eye lvl wnd gst.15 12 10 6 6 4 4 4 2 2 2 2 .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent) then becoming partly sunny (45-55 percent). Max temperature.....Around 77, to around 68 along the western ridgeline. Min humidity........18-21 percent. Eye level winds.....South to southwest 2-5 mph in the morning, becoming southwest 5-7 mph in the afternoon. Wind (20 ft)........South to southwest 4-7 mph in the morning, becoming southwest 8-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon. CWR.................7 percent. LAL.................1. TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MC Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............51 52 54 57 61 65 68 71 73 75 75 75 RH..............53 51 48 44 39 34 30 27 25 23 21 21 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW 20 FT wind spd..1 1 2 2 2 5 6 8 8 10 11 12 20 FT wind gust.4 4 5 5 5 9 11 15 17 18 18 20 Eye lvl wnd dir.S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW Eye lvl wnd spd.0 0 1 1 1 2 3 4 4 5 5 6 Eye lvl wnd gst.2 2 2 2 2 3 6 8 9 10 10 12 $$ Forecaster...WEYGAND Requested by...Jeremy Surprenant Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2419681.5/MFR .DELDT 08/12/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL orlfc@firenet.gov