Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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437
FNUS76 KMFR 110235
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Oak Knoll Staging...US Forest Service
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
735 PM PDT Wed Jul 10 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1900 PDT on July 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT SATURDAY...

.DISCUSSION...North winds will remain strong for about another 90
minutes this evening. Above normal temperatures, low humidity
values, breezy winds, and unstable conditions will result in
elevated to critical fire weather conditions each afternoon and
evening this week. The site will be on the western edge of the
area with a 5 to 10 percent chance for thunderstorms during
Saturday afternoon and evening.


.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........58 percent.
Eye level winds.....North winds up to 3 mph with gusts to 10 mph
                    in the evening, then becoming light.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 8 mph with gusts to 15 mph,
                    decreasing to around 5 mph late in the evening,
                    then becoming light overnight.

TIME (PDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
Sky cover.......CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
Weather cov.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE PATCHY
Weather type....HAZE   HAZE   HAZE   HAZE   HAZE   SMOKE
Tstm cov........
Temp............100    88     81     74     69     66
RH..............19     24     32     40     48     56
20 ft wind......N 8    N 6    NW 2   NW 2   NE 2   NE 4
20 ft wind gust.13     11     6      6      5
Eye level wind..N 3    N 2    NW 1   NW 1   NE 1   NE 1
Eye lvl wnd gst.5      4      2      2      2      2

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 106.
Min humidity........12 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming west 2 to 4 mph
                    with gusts to 8 mph in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 10 mph
                    with gusts to 16 mph in the afternoon.

TIME (PDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
Weather cov.....PATCHY DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE PATCHY PATCHY
Weather type....SMOKE  HAZE   HAZE   HAZE   SMOKE  SMOKE
Tstm cov........
Temp............65     74     89     98     104    105
RH..............58     43     28     19     15     14
20 ft wind......NE 4   NE 4   NE 4   NE 3   W 6    W 7
20 ft wind gust.       6      6      8      11     14
Eye level wind..NE 1   NE 1   NE 1   NE 1   W 2    W 3
Eye lvl wnd gst.2      2      2      3      6      7

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........60 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds around 2 to 5 mph with with gusts
                    to 9 mph early in the evening, then becoming light.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 8 to 12 mph with gusts to
                    18 mph early in the evening, then becoming light.

TIME (PDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
Weather cov.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE PATCHY PATCHY AREAS
Weather type....HAZE   HAZE   HAZE   SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE
Tstm cov........
Temp............103    93     83     76     69     64
RH..............15     21     28     36     44     54
20 ft wind......NW 11  NW 9   NW 4   N 2    NE 2   NE 2
20 ft wind gust.17     15     10     6      5      5
Eye level wind..NW 5   NW 3   NW 1   N 1    NE 1   NE 1
Eye lvl wnd gst.8      6      4      2      2      2

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 108.
Min humidity........10 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming northeast around 2 mph
                    early in the morning, then becoming west
                    2 to 6 mph with gusts to 10 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph
                    early in the morning, then becoming west
                    around 6 to 14 mph with gusts to 20 mph
                    in the afternoon.

TIME (PDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
Weather cov.....AREAS  AREAS  AREAS  AREAS  AREAS  AREAS
Weather type....SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE
Tstm cov........
Temp............66     75     88     99     106    108
RH..............52     43     29     17     11     9
20 ft wind......NE 4   NE 5   NE 5   NE 3   W 8    W 12
20 ft wind gust.5      6      6      6      13     17
Eye level wind..NE 1   NE 2   NE 2   NE 1   W 3    W 5
Eye lvl wnd gst.2                    2      5      8

$$
Forecaster...WEYGAND
Requested by...Robert Goodwin
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2417768.0/MFR
.DELDT 07/10/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL robert.goodwin@usda.gov