Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
363 FNUS76 KMFR 172238 FWSMFR Spot Forecast for Horseshoe Bend...SWO ODF Grants Pass National Weather Service MEDFORD OR 338 PM PDT Wed Jul 17 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1500 PDT on July 17. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...Current wind speeds being observed right now at the wildfire will remain in place this afternoon and early evening. Speeds will diminish in a typical diurnal fashion around sunset with light and variable winds expected overnight. RH values are not expected to drop much--if any--than current observed RH values. Moderate overnight recoveries are expected in the 60% range but could be close to 70% right before sunrise. Not expecting any rainfall or thunderstorm activity tonight. A strong inversion will set up tonight, and will be in place until about 10am, but a secondary inversion noted around 3000 feet wont mix out until around 2pm tomorrow afternoon. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent). Max temperature.....Around 86. Min humidity........28 percent. Eye level winds.....Southwest winds around 2 mph shifting to the west late in the afternoon. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 6 mph shifting to the west around 5 mph late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 13 mph. CWR.................0 percent. LAL.................1. TIME (PDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 Temp............86 85 85 RH..............28 30 33 20 FT wind dir..SW SW W 20 FT wind spd..6 6 5 20 FT wind gust.10 10 7 Eye lvl wnd dir.SW SW W Eye lvl wnd spd.2 2 2 Eye lvl wnd gst.4 4 3 Mix hgt (kft)...5.8 5.8 4.5 Transp wind dir.SW SW W Transp wind spd.13 13 10 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent). Min temperature.....Around 58. Max humidity........68 percent. Eye level winds.....Northwest winds around 2 mph in the evening becoming light. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening becoming light. Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 3 to 10 mph. CWR.................0 percent. LAL.................1. TIME (PDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............84 80 77 71 68 66 65 64 62 60 60 59 RH..............35 41 47 52 52 55 56 56 58 60 62 64 20 FT wind dir..W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N 20 FT wind spd..5 5 6 6 6 4 4 4 4 4 4 2 20 FT wind gust.7 7 8 8 8 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 Eye lvl wnd dir.W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N Eye lvl wnd spd.2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Eye lvl wnd gst.3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Mix hgt (kft)...4.5 4.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 Transp wind dir.W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW Transp wind spd.10 10 7 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 3 .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent). Max temperature.....Around 90. Min humidity........28 percent. Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming northwest up to 3 mph late in the afternoon. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph early in the morning becoming light, then becoming northwest 6 to 7 mph late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 3 to 9 mph. CWR.................0 percent. LAL.................1. TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............58 60 64 69 76 81 85 87 88 89 89 89 RH..............67 61 57 47 40 34 33 29 28 28 31 34 20 FT wind dir..N N N N N N N N NW NW NW W 20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 6 6 6 7 20 FT wind gust.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 8 8 8 11 Eye lvl wnd dir.N N N N N N N N NW NW NW W Eye lvl wnd spd.1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 Eye lvl wnd gst.2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 1.7 2.5 2.5 2.5 3.8 3.8 3.8 5.9 5.9 5.9 4.5 Transp wind dir.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W Transp wind spd.3 3 6 6 6 3 3 3 8 8 8 9 $$ Forecaster...GUERRERO Requested by...Curt Snow Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2418316.0/MFR .DELDT 07/17/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL Curtis.j.snow@odf.oregon.gov