Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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824
FWUS46 KMFR 151101
AVGMFR

AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
401 AM PDT MON JUL 15 2024


...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...

DATE                    MONDAY 07/15/24                         TUESDAY 07/16/24
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        FW   CL   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   SC   SC   FW   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)     5    5   45   45   50   50   25   35   40   45   30   10   15   25   35   20   10
TEMPERATURE        60   64   69   71   71   66   62   63   62   63   66   67   68   61   60   56   55
MAX/MIN TEMP                           73                  59                  69                  54
WIND DIR            N    S    S   SW    W    N   SE    E   NE    E    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)          2    3    8    9    4    3    3    4    5    8   17   23   26   24    8    5    4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0   20   20   20   20    0    0    0    0    5    5    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE                   T    T    T    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.01      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.2 11.9 12.3 12.6 12.7 12.5 12.5 12.6 12.6 12.6 12.4 11.8 11.4 11.0 10.5 10.7 10.5


...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...

DATE                    MONDAY 07/15/24                         TUESDAY 07/16/24
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        FW   CL   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC   FW   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)     5    5   45   45   50   50   25   40   35   45   25   10   15   25   30   20   10
TEMPERATURE        54   63   73   75   74   62   56   56   55   59   71   72   70   58   53   49   47
MAX/MIN TEMP                           76                  53                  72                  46
WIND DIR            E    S    S   SW    W   NE    E    E    E    E    S    S    S    S   SE   SE    E
WIND (MPH)          2    4    8    6    5    3    4    5    6    9   18   21   18   16    9    9    8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0   20   20   20   20    0    0    0    0    5    5    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE                   T    T    T    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.1 11.9 12.2 12.6 12.7 12.5 12.5 12.6 12.6 12.6 12.3 11.7 11.4 10.9 10.5 10.7 10.5


...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...

DATE                    MONDAY 07/15/24                         TUESDAY 07/16/24
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        FW   CL   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   SC   FW   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)     5    5   45   45   45   45   25   40   40   45   30   10   15   25   30   25   10
TEMPERATURE        60   63   67   70   70   65   62   63   62   62   64   66   66   60   59   56   54
MAX/MIN TEMP                           72                  59                  68                  53
WIND DIR           NW    S    S    S   SW   NW   SW   NE    N    E    S    S    S    S   SW   SW   SW
WIND (MPH)          2    3    8    9    5    3    2    3    4    6   16   21   26   24    5    4    2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0   20   20   20   20    0    0    0    0    5    5    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE                   T    T    T    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.01      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.2 11.9 12.3 12.6 12.6 12.5 12.5 12.6 12.6 12.6 12.4 11.8 11.4 10.9 10.5 10.7 10.5


...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...

DATE                    MONDAY 07/15/24                         TUESDAY 07/16/24
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        FW   CL   SC   SC   BK   BK   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   SC   SC   FW   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)     5    5   50   50   50   50   25   35   40   45   30   10   15   30   35   20   10
TEMPERATURE        48   52   56   58   57   53   50   51   49   51   54   54   53   49   47   45   43
MAX/MIN TEMP                           58                  49                  55                  43
WIND DIR           SE    S    S   SW    W   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)          2    3    8    8    4    3    4    5    6    9   25   28   34   31   12   10    8
WIND GUST (MPH)                                                      48   47   57   54
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0   30   30   30   30    0    0    0    0    5    5    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE                   T    T    T    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.03      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.2 11.9 12.4 12.7 12.8 12.6 12.5 12.6 12.6 12.6 12.4 11.8 11.4 11.0 10.6 10.7 10.5


...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...

DATE                    MONDAY 07/15/24                         TUESDAY 07/16/24
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   SC   SC   SC   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)    10    5   35   35   40   40   20   40   40   35   35   15   20   30   40   25   20
TEMPERATURE        59   65   70   74   72   66   62   61   62   65   67   70   68   62   58   55   53
MAX/MIN TEMP                           74                  60                  71                  53
WIND DIR           SW    S    S   SW    W   NW    W   SW    W    S    S    S    S    S   SW   SW   SW
WIND (MPH)          2    3    5    8    6    5    3    3    3    4   13   20   19   19   11   10    9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0   20   20   20   20    0    0    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    0
PRECIP TYPE                   T    T    T    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.02      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.4 12.1 12.5 12.8 12.9 12.7 12.7 12.8 12.8 12.8 12.7 12.2 11.6 11.0 10.7 10.8 10.7


...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...

DATE                    MONDAY 07/15/24                         TUESDAY 07/16/24
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        CL   CL   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)     5    5   35   35   40   40   25   35   40   45   20    5   15   25   25   15   15
TEMPERATURE        66   72   79   82   82   77   70   68   67   71   76   78   78   71   65   61   58
MAX/MIN TEMP                           84                  66                  79                  58
WIND DIR            W   SE   SE    S    W   NW   SW   SW   SW   SE   SE    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)          3    2    6    6    5    6    3    2    3    3   12   17   16   11    5    4    3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0   20   20   20   20    0    0    0    0    5    5    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE                   T    T    T    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.01      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.0 11.8 12.1 12.6 12.7 12.5 12.4 12.5 12.3 12.4 11.9 11.5 11.0 10.8 10.3 10.5 10.4


...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...

DATE                    MONDAY 07/15/24                         TUESDAY 07/16/24
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        FW   CL   BK   BK   BK   BK   FW   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC   FW   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)     5    5   50   50   50   50   25   35   40   35   15    5   15   30   30   20   20
TEMPERATURE        60   70   74   76   75   66   62   61   62   68   71   73   72   63   60   57   55
MAX/MIN TEMP                           76                  60                  73                  55
WIND DIR           SW   SE   SE    S   NW   NW   SW    S    S   SE    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)          3    3    5    4    6    5    4    5    4    6   16   23   20   16   10   11    9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0   30   30   30   30    0    0    0    0    5    5    0    0    5    5    0
PRECIP TYPE                   T    T    T    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.01      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.0 11.8 12.4 12.8 12.8 12.6 12.4 12.5 12.4 12.4 11.8 11.5 11.1 10.9 10.5 10.5 10.4


...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...

DATE                    MONDAY 07/15/24                         TUESDAY 07/16/24
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   SC   FW   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK   BK   BK   SC   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)    50   35   25   15   15   35   10   20   40   40   40   50   60   60   60   25   10
TEMPERATURE        56   60   73   77   78   71   63   60   60   62   74   77   78   69   61   56   53
MAX/MIN TEMP                           79                  58                  80                  53
WIND DIR           SW   SW    W    W    W   NW   NE    E    E    E   SE    S    W   NW    S    S   SE
WIND (MPH)          4    6   10   11   11    4    2    4    5    5   10   11    8   10    4    5    5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   10   10   10   10   10    5    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.0 11.5 11.3 11.5 11.5 11.7 12.0 12.3 12.5 12.5 12.5 12.6 13.1 12.6 12.2 11.8 11.4


...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...

DATE                    MONDAY 07/15/24                         TUESDAY 07/16/24
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        BK   SC   FW   FW   FW   SC   FW   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK   BK   BK   SC   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)    55   35   25   15   20   35   10   20   45   40   40   50   60   60   60   25   15
TEMPERATURE        56   59   72   76   77   72   61   59   58   60   73   76   77   69   59   55   52
MAX/MIN TEMP                           78                  57                  79                  52
WIND DIR           SW   SW    W    W    W   NW    N   NE    E    E   SE    S   SW    W   SW   SW   SE
WIND (MPH)          4    6   10   11   10    5    3    3    3    4   10   12    9   10    3    5    4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   10   10   10   10   10    5    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.1 11.6 11.4 11.6 11.5 11.8 12.1 12.3 12.5 12.5 12.4 12.6 13.1 12.6 12.2 11.8 11.4


...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...

DATE                    MONDAY 07/15/24                         TUESDAY 07/16/24
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        SC   FW   FW   FW   SC   FW   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)    50   20   10   15   40   20   15   35   40   40   40   40   40   35   45   25   10
TEMPERATURE        59   63   76   81   80   76   65   62   60   63   76   80   80   72   63   57   54
MAX/MIN TEMP                           81                  58                  81                  54
WIND DIR            S   SW    W    W    W   NW   NE   NE   NE    E   SE    S    S    W    W    S   SE
WIND (MPH)          2    4    8    8    8    3    3    5    5    5    9   11   14   10    3    4    4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    5    5    0    0    5    5    5    5   10   10    5    5    5    5    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.2 11.9 11.7 11.9 12.3 12.6 12.6 12.6 12.6 12.6 12.7 13.0 12.3 12.1 11.4 11.4 11.1


...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...

DATE                    MONDAY 07/15/24                         TUESDAY 07/16/24
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   FW   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK   BK   BK   SC   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)    45   20   20   20   15   30   15   15   35   40   45   50   55   55   55   25   10
TEMPERATURE        58   62   70   74   73   69   64   62   62   64   72   74   72   65   61   57   56
MAX/MIN TEMP                           74                  60                  74                  56
WIND DIR            S   SW    W    W    W   NW    N   SE   SE   SE   SE   SW    W    W   SW    S   SE
WIND (MPH)          3    4    8   10    9    3    2    3    5    5   10    9   11   11    4    5    5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   10   10   20   20   20   10    0
PRECIP TYPE                                                                     T    T    T
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.9 11.6 11.3 11.5 11.7 11.9 12.1 12.3 12.3 12.5 12.6 12.8 12.8 12.6 12.1 11.8 11.4


...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...

DATE                    MONDAY 07/15/24                         TUESDAY 07/16/24
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        SC   FW   SC   FW   FW   SC   FW   FW   SC   SC   SC   BK   BK   BK   BK   SC   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)    50   25   25   20    5   30   20   10   35   40   50   55   60   70   60   30   15
TEMPERATURE        57   61   70   74   73   68   62   62   62   65   72   74   73   65   60   58   56
MAX/MIN TEMP                           74                  60                  75                  56
WIND DIR            S   SW    W    W   NW   NW   NW   SE   SE   SE   SE   SW   NW   NW   SW    S    S
WIND (MPH)          3    4    9   10    9    3    2    3    4    4   10    8    9   10    4    4    5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   10   10   20   20   20   10    0
PRECIP TYPE                                                                     T    T    T
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.7 11.5 11.2 11.4 11.4 11.5 11.8 12.1 12.2 12.4 12.6 12.8 13.0 12.9 12.4 12.0 11.6


...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...

DATE                    MONDAY 07/15/24                         TUESDAY 07/16/24
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)    25   10   30   30   50   40   15   40   40   50   20   25   35   45   35   15   15
TEMPERATURE        64   68   75   77   74   68   65   66   66   68   74   77   75   66   62   60   58
MAX/MIN TEMP                           78                  64                  77                  58
WIND DIR           SW    S   NW   NW    W   NW    W    S    S    S    S    S    S   NW   SW    S    S
WIND (MPH)          3    2    2    4    8    4    2    4    4    5   13   17   13   14    4    8    8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0   20   20   20   20    0    0    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    0
PRECIP TYPE                   T    T    T    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.03      0.01      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.1 11.7 12.0 12.7 12.7 12.7 12.6 12.4 12.4 12.4 12.3 12.4 12.2 11.6 11.0 10.9 10.6

$$

--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---

CODE   TYPE
 T     THUNDERSTORMS
 R     RAIN
 S     SNOW
 I     SLEET
 Z     FREEZING RAIN