Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
645 FNUS54 KMEG 201920 FWFMEG Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth National Weather Service Memphis TN 220 PM CDT Sat Jul 20 2024 .DISCUSSION... Below normal temperatures and daily rain chances for north Mississippi and parts of West Tennessee will be the story through the weekend due to a stalled frontal boundary. Patchy fog is possible each night. The boundary will eventually lift north by early next week with rain chances spreading across the entire area. ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-210915- Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett- 220 PM CDT Sat Jul 20 2024 Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 10 20 20 40 Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Precip Duration (hrs) 1 2 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Temp (24h trend) 68 (0) 85 (0) 68 84 RH % (24h trend) 98 (+11) 58 (0) 100 62 AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var N 2-6 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1400 1400 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4700 4600 Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1500 1500 Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 5000 4800 Transport Wnd (m/s) N 3 SW 2 Transport Wnd (mph) N 6 SW 5 Vent Index (m2/s) 4500 3000 Category Day 3 2 500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 81 81 500m Tspt Wind (m/s) N 3 NE 2 500m Tspt Wind (mph) N 6 NE 4 Dispersion Index 6 19 7 13 LAL 1 2 2 3 LASI/Haines Index 4 4 4 4 Stability Class F B F B Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. South winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ035-036-048-049-058-210915- Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis- 220 PM CDT Sat Jul 20 2024 Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 10 20 20 40 Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 Precip Duration (hrs) 1 2 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Temp (24h trend) 68 (-1) 87 (+1) 69 85 RH % (24h trend) 100 (+9) 57 (-2) 100 64 AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1500 1400 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5000 4600 Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1600 1500 Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 5200 4800 Transport Wnd (m/s) N 3 SW 2 Transport Wnd (mph) N 6 SW 5 Vent Index (m2/s) 4800 3000 Category Day 3 2 500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 81 83 500m Tspt Wind (m/s) N 2 S 1 500m Tspt Wind (mph) N 5 S 3 Dispersion Index 6 15 5 13 LAL 1 1 2 3 LASI/Haines Index 4 4 4 4 Stability Class F A F B Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 80 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 77 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ TNZ001>004-019>022-210915- Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley- 220 PM CDT Sat Jul 20 2024 Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 20 20 30 40 Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 Precip Duration (hrs) 1 2 2 Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Temp (24h trend) 67 (-2) 87 (+2) 67 87 RH % (24h trend) 100 (+10) 58 (-6) 100 59 AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1400 1400 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4600 4600 Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1500 1500 Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 5000 5000 Transport Wnd (m/s) N 3 W 2 Transport Wnd (mph) N 6 W 5 Vent Index (m2/s) 4500 3000 Category Day 3 2 500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 81 81 500m Tspt Wind (m/s) N 2 NW 2 500m Tspt Wind (mph) N 5 NW 4 Dispersion Index 4 13 5 13 LAL 2 2 3 3 LASI/Haines Index 3 4 4 4 Stability Class F B F B Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. South winds around 5 mph. $$ TNZ048>055-088>091-210915- Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson- Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton- 220 PM CDT Sat Jul 20 2024 Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 20 20 30 40 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms Precip Amount 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.00 Precip Duration (hrs) 0 1 1 2 Precip Begin 6 PM 9 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End 9 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing Temp (24h trend) 68 (-3) 87 (+1) 68 87 RH % (24h trend) 100 (+7) 56 (-9) 100 58 AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1500 1500 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4800 4800 Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1600 1600 Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 5200 5200 Transport Wnd (m/s) NW 3 W 2 Transport Wnd (mph) NW 6 W 5 Vent Index (m2/s) 4800 3200 Category Day 3 2 500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 81 82 500m Tspt Wind (m/s) N 2 SW 2 500m Tspt Wind (mph) N 5 SW 5 Dispersion Index 4 14 4 13 LAL 3 3 3 3 LASI/Haines Index 3 4 4 4 Stability Class F B F B Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-210915- Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha- 220 PM CDT Sat Jul 20 2024 Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 10 20 20 40 Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 Precip Duration (hrs) 1 1 2 Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Temp (24h trend) 68 (-3) 89 (+2) 69 87 RH % (24h trend) 100 (+6) 53 (-10) 100 59 AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1700 1400 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5400 4700 Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1700 1500 Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 5700 4900 Transport Wnd (m/s) NW 3 SW 2 Transport Wnd (mph) NW 6 SW 5 Vent Index (m2/s) 5100 3000 Category Day 3 2 500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 83 81 500m Tspt Wind (m/s) NW 2 S 2 500m Tspt Wind (mph) NW 4 S 5 Dispersion Index 5 17 4 13 LAL 3 2 2 3 LASI/Haines Index 4 4 4 4 Stability Class F B F B Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 80 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 77 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-210915- Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS- Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union- 220 PM CDT Sat Jul 20 2024 Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 40 40 20 50 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms Precip Amount 0.02 0.05 0.01 0.02 Precip Duration (hrs) 1 2 1 2 Precip Begin 6 PM 7 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End 11 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing Temp (24h trend) 68 (-4) 90 (+4) 68 89 RH % (24h trend) 100 (+1) 51 (-14) 100 54 AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1500 1500 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5100 4800 Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1700 1600 Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 5500 5200 Transport Wnd (m/s) W 3 SW 3 Transport Wnd (mph) W 6 SW 7 Vent Index (m2/s) 5100 4800 Category Day 3 3 500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 83 80 500m Tspt Wind (m/s) W 3 SW 3 500m Tspt Wind (mph) W 6 SW 7 Dispersion Index 3 19 4 19 LAL 3 3 3 3 LASI/Haines Index 3 4 4 4 Stability Class F B F B Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds around 5 mph. $$