Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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344 ACUS11 KWNS 062201 SWOMCD SPC MCD 062200 IAZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-KSZ000-062300- Mesoscale Discussion 1546 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Sat Jul 06 2024 Areas affected...Southeast Nebraska...Southwest Iowa...Northeast Kansas...Northwest Missouri Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 062200Z - 062300Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...New severe thunderstorm watch appears warranted for portions of southeast Nebraska region. DISCUSSION...Organized complex of severe thunderstorms has matured over south-central Nebraska late this afternoon. This MCS is propagating east into a reservoir of strong buoyancy represented by MLCAPE values on the order of 1500 J/kg. LLJ is forecast to increase across northeast KS into southeast NE over the next few hours which should encourage downstream propagation and longevity of the MCS. Large hail and damaging winds are expected and a new severe thunderstorm watch appears warranted. ..Darrow/Hart.. 07/06/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...GID... LAT...LON 41049721 41199544 40099521 39799683 40049776 41049721