928
FXUS64 KLZK 290546
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1246 AM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025

...New AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 220 PM CDT Sat Jun 28 2025

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue to progress
eastward across the state through this evening. Will see a
downward trend after sunset, but as a weak disturbance moves
through the mean flow, activity could persist a little longer than
usual. Similar setup expected across the area on Sunday with
the greatest focus for precip across NE/E Arkansas. With abundant
moisture in place, another afternoon of isolated to scattered
thunderstorms is expected with a low overall severe threat, but
slightly better chances of storms producing locally heavy
rainfall.

By Monday, things begin to change across the state and much of
the country. The H500 ridge that has been in place across the
southern US will retreat SW while expanding north across the
western US. This will be in response to a quick moving mid-level
trough expected to move from the Northern Plains toward the Great
Lakes Mon-Tue. At the sfc, a cold front will progress toward the
state from the NW.

This front is expected to make it into the state before stalling.
While this could lead to a brief period of cooler temperatures by
for the first half of the week, it will be brief and it will not
affect all of the state. As the front stalls it will also remain
the focus for chances of showers/storms while over the area. At
this time, northern AR looks to be favored for the most widespread
precip.

While it doesn`t look entirely dry near the end of the period, it
does appear that the H500 ridge will attempt to redevelop over
the state leading to another period of hot temperatures.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1238 AM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025

Mix of MVFR/VFR VIS`bys are possible overnight across Nrn
terminals through 12/14z due to patchy FG. Elsewhere, VFR conds
should prevail. Scattered SHRA/TSRA are possible again on Sun
across Nrn sites; it is in these locations with the highest PoP
chances. Chances for precip across Srn terminals is much lower
thus mentioned accordingly in the TAFs. Cntrl terminals may have
afternoon/evening convection on Sun. Winds should be light and
variable both overnight and on Sun at around 5-10 kts.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     89  74  91  73 /  60  20  60  40
Camden AR         95  74  95  72 /  20  10  30  30
Harrison AR       88  72  88  68 /  50  30  70  30
Hot Springs AR    94  75  93  73 /  20  10  50  40
Little Rock   AR  93  76  93  73 /  40  20  50  40
Monticello AR     93  76  93  75 /  30  10  40  40
Mount Ida AR      93  74  91  72 /  20  10  50  40
Mountain Home AR  88  71  89  70 /  60  30  70  30
Newport AR        91  75  93  74 /  60  20  60  40
Pine Bluff AR     91  75  93  73 /  30  20  50  40
Russellville AR   94  74  92  73 /  30  20  60  40
Searcy AR         91  73  93  73 /  50  20  60  30
Stuttgart AR      90  76  93  74 /  40  20  50  40

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...67
LONG TERM....67
AVIATION...70