136
FXUS64 KLZK 091040 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
540 AM CDT Tue Jul 9 2024

...New AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 219 AM CDT Tue Jul 9 2024

Widespread showers continue to rotate mainly north of the center of
the remnants of Beryl early this Tue morning...which is centered
near TXK as of 2 AM hr. Mainly pockets of heavy rain will continue
north and NE of the low pressure center through this morning...with
more stratiform widespread lower intensity rainfall to the NW of the
center. Rainfall amounts so far have been maximized along the I-
30/US-67 corridor...or nearby...with 2 to possibly over 5 inches
noted so far. Most of the additional heavy rain will be along this
US-67 corridor...generally from central AR to the NE as the center
of Beryl lifts NE of the state by this afternoon. Additional
rainfall amounts will be mainly 1 to 3 inches...with locally higher
amounts possible. Will continue the Flood Watch for central to NRN
AR...but likely remove some SWRN counties by this forecast issuance.
There will remain at least some small threat for brief tornadoes
this morning as the circulation lifts NE...with that threat likely
decreasing by late morning into the afternoon hrs.

By this afternoon...chances for precip will decrease dramatically as
the center of Beryl lifts NE of AR. However...some small chances for
precip will remain as energy wraps around the back side of the low
center. This activity will be more of the isolated to widely
scattered nature. Expect rain chances to decrease for most areas by
late this afternoon and especially by tonight.

Beyond the influence of Beryl...the rest of the forecast looks much
more tranquil starting Wed...though heat will gradually return by
late this week into the weekend. Some diurnally driven convection
may be seen for some afternoons...but organized convection looks
unlikely at this time. The upper level ridge looks to expand over
the region by late in the forecast...which may lead to some return
to heat headlines by late this weekend into early next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 537 AM CDT Tue Jul 9 2024

The center of the remnants of Beryl continue to rotate over SWRN
portions of the area this Tue morning...with some breezy
conditions ongoing...as well as isolated/scattered SHRA to the
south/east of this system. Further north...more widespread
rainfall is ongoing. MVFR or briefly lower conditions were
noted...especially with the more intense activity. This system
will lift NE out of the state by later this afternoon...with
gradually improving condtions throughout the day. Expect dominant
VFR conditions by this evening...though some patchy fog may
develop tonight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     75  63  88  67 / 100  10   0   0
Camden AR         83  66  91  67 /  40  10   0   0
Harrison AR       76  61  86  64 / 100   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    80  65  91  68 /  70   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  79  68  89  70 /  70  10   0   0
Monticello AR     82  67  91  69 /  20  10   0   0
Mount Ida AR      80  63  90  66 /  80   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  75  61  86  65 / 100  10   0   0
Newport AR        76  64  88  69 /  80  20   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     80  66  89  69 /  50  10   0   0
Russellville AR   80  64  90  68 /  90   0   0   0
Searcy AR         77  64  88  67 /  90  10   0   0
Stuttgart AR      78  66  87  70 /  60  10   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through this evening for ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-
031>033-039-043-044-103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-203-212-213-
221>223-230-237-238-313.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...62
AVIATION...62