Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
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472 FXUS64 KLZK 101721 AFDLZK Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 1221 PM CDT Wed Jul 10 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Thursday Night) Issued at 210 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2024 In the wake of the remnants of Beryl moving over AR on Tue morning...much calmer conditions are ongoing across the area early this Wed morning. Temps have cooled into the 60s and low 70s...with just some patchy fog noted. An upper level shortwave will drop SE across the NRN/Mid MS River Valley region through tonight and Thu...with AR under influence of the larger scale trough axis. Dry condtions should continue into early Thu with no significant disturbances passing overhead however. Some small chances for diurnally driven convection are forecast for Thu afternoon/evening however as a weak upper wave moves over NRN sections of the state. Even so...think most areas should remain dry. Temps look to remain below normal again today...then may warm back up around normal for Thu afternoon. Dewpts will be in the 60s to low 70s...and resulting heat index values in the 80s and 90s...likely remaining below Heat Adv criteria through the short term period. Otherwise...no major forecast concerns are expected through the short term period at this time. && .LONG TERM... (Friday through Tuesday) Issued at 210 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2024 To begin the period, a weak upper level trough will continue to push out of the state as high pressure builds in from the west. Through much of the period, hot and humid conditions are expected. Diurnally driven convection cannot be ruled out, although PoPs are kept on the lower end with chances around 20 to 30 percent. As mentioned above, hot conditions are will continue across the state through the long term period...High temperatures are expected to get into the upper 80s (highest elevations) to upper 90s with heat index values approaching heat advisory criteria by Sunday across much of the CWA. Overnight low temperatures are expected to drop into the 70s. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1220 PM CDT Wed Jul 10 2024 Widespread VFR conditions are expected as surface high pressure dominates. Cumulus field this afternoon will dissipate with loss of heating with only high level moisture expected otherwise. Winds will be light and variable through the period. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 88 67 91 68 / 0 0 10 10 Camden AR 91 68 94 68 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 86 64 89 68 / 0 0 10 10 Hot Springs AR 90 67 94 69 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 89 70 92 72 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 91 69 94 72 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 90 65 92 67 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 87 65 90 70 / 0 0 10 10 Newport AR 88 68 91 71 / 0 0 0 10 Pine Bluff AR 89 69 92 71 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 90 67 93 70 / 0 0 10 0 Searcy AR 88 68 91 70 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 87 70 90 72 / 0 0 0 0 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...62 LONG TERM....73 AVIATION...56