347
FXUS64 KLZK 192249 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
549 PM CDT Fri Jul 19 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 235 PM CDT Fri Jul 19 2024

A nearly static upper level pattern will persist during the short
term, with a ridge over the western US, and a broad trof over the
midsection of the country. A quasi-stationary front across TX and LA
will slowly drift northward thru the period and may reach the
southernmost portions of the forecast area by the end of the period.

A shortwave moving thru the broad trof will bring some rain chances
back to the state on Sunday, primarily to the western portions of
the state. The front mentioned above will bring some low chances for
rain to the southernmost portions of the forecast area as well.

Temperatures should remain somewhat below average for the remainder
of the short term...which is certainly welcome at this time of year.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 235 PM CDT Fri Jul 19 2024

The long term period will be characterized by near to below normal
temperatures along with persistent rain chances across the state.
Aloft, ridging will expand and remain dominant across the western
US. Mid-level troughing will extend toward the state from the Great
Lakes which will provide a persistent series of disturbances over
the area as the flow transitions from NW to SW over the region.

At the sfc, a stalled front will be in the vicinity and will act as
the focus for daily precip chances through the period. At this time,
the heaviest rainfall amounts are expected to be across S/SE parts
of the state.

Given the increase in cloud cover and moisture across the area along
with NW flow aloft, daytime highs in the 80s F appear more likely
than highs in the 90s F through the period. Similarly, overnight
lows are expected to dip down into the 60s F across much of the area
through the period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 549 PM CDT Fri Jul 19 2024

Expect dominant VFR conditions to persist through this TAF
period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     62  85  66  86 /   0   0   0  10
Camden AR         65  90  68  90 /   0   0   0  20
Harrison AR       59  83  64  81 /   0   0   0  40
Hot Springs AR    64  90  68  89 /   0   0   0  20
Little Rock   AR  67  87  70  88 /   0   0   0  10
Monticello AR     68  89  71  91 /   0   0   0  20
Mount Ida AR      61  88  66  86 /   0   0   0  20
Mountain Home AR  59  83  64  82 /   0   0   0  30
Newport AR        64  84  66  85 /   0   0   0  10
Pine Bluff AR     66  87  68  89 /   0   0   0  10
Russellville AR   63  88  69  86 /   0   0   0  20
Searcy AR         64  86  66  87 /   0   0   0  10
Stuttgart AR      67  86  69  86 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...53
LONG TERM....67
AVIATION...62