961
FXUS64 KLZK 200534
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1234 AM CDT Sat Jul 20 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 235 PM CDT Fri Jul 19 2024

A nearly static upper level pattern will persist during the short
term, with a ridge over the western US, and a broad trof over the
midsection of the country. A quasi-stationary front across TX and LA
will slowly drift northward thru the period and may reach the
southernmost portions of the forecast area by the end of the period.

A shortwave moving thru the broad trof will bring some rain chances
back to the state on Sunday, primarily to the western portions of
the state. The front mentioned above will bring some low chances for
rain to the southernmost portions of the forecast area as well.

Temperatures should remain somewhat below average for the remainder
of the short term...which is certainly welcome at this time of year.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 235 PM CDT Fri Jul 19 2024

The long term period will be characterized by near to below normal
temperatures along with persistent rain chances across the state.
Aloft, ridging will expand and remain dominant across the western
US. Mid-level troughing will extend toward the state from the Great
Lakes which will provide a persistent series of disturbances over
the area as the flow transitions from NW to SW over the region.

At the sfc, a stalled front will be in the vicinity and will act as
the focus for daily precip chances through the period. At this time,
the heaviest rainfall amounts are expected to be across S/SE parts
of the state.

Given the increase in cloud cover and moisture across the area along
with NW flow aloft, daytime highs in the 80s F appear more likely
than highs in the 90s F through the period. Similarly, overnight
lows are expected to dip down into the 60s F across much of the area
through the period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1231 AM CDT Sat Jul 20 2024

With high pressure over the area, VFR conditions will continue
through the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     85  66  86  68 /   0   0  10  30
Camden AR         91  68  90  70 /   0   0  20  30
Harrison AR       83  65  81  65 /   0   0  40  40
Hot Springs AR    90  68  89  69 /   0   0  20  40
Little Rock   AR  88  70  88  73 /   0   0  10  30
Monticello AR     90  71  91  72 /   0   0  20  20
Mount Ida AR      89  66  86  67 /   0   0  20  40
Mountain Home AR  83  65  82  66 /   0   0  30  30
Newport AR        85  67  85  69 /   0   0  10  20
Pine Bluff AR     88  68  89  71 /   0   0  10  20
Russellville AR   89  69  86  69 /   0   0  20  40
Searcy AR         86  66  87  69 /   0   0  10  30
Stuttgart AR      86  69  86  71 /   0   0  10  30

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...53
LONG TERM....67
AVIATION...51