981
FNUS76 KLOX 132241
FWSLOX

Spot Forecast for Soda Fire...SLO County Calfire
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
341 PM PDT Sat Jul 13 2024

If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
A surge of unstable monsoonal moisture is generating a continued
slight chance of mostly dry thunderstorms across interior sections
of San Luis Obispo county. There is the threat of additional
thunderstorms in or near the fire location today, with the risk of
dry lightning strikes and strong outflow winds, potentially gusting
up to 50 mph near any thunderstorms that develop. The hot, unstable
conditions will also cause large vertical plume potential for the
fire. The risk of thunderstorms will decrease through the evening
with the loss of daytime heating, and winds will decrease
substantially overnight. Poor overnight recoveries are expected,
with low temperatures in the lower 70s.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of becoming
                    cloudy near storm cells (35-45 percent). Slight chance
                    of showers and mostly dry thunderstorms. Additional
                    dry lightning strikes and strong erratic outflow winds
                    possible.
Max temperature.....96-98.
Min humidity........16-19 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southwest to west winds 3 to 6 mph with gusts to 9 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 12 mph with gusts to 18 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest to west winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to
                    20 mph.
Mixing height.......14000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest to west 10 to 15 mph.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy in the evening (25-35 percent) becoming
                    mostly clear (10-20 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the evening through around 2100. Dry
                    lightning and strong erratic outflow winds possible near
                    any thunderstorm.
Min temperature.....77 degrees at midnight. Min around 72.
Max humidity........30-34 percent.
Eye level winds.....West to northwest winds 4 to 6 mph becoming southwest 3
                    to 4 mph overnight.
Wind (20 ft)........West to northwest winds 8 to 12 mph becoming southwest
                    4 to 6 mph overnight.
Ridgetop wind.......West winds 8 to 15 mph becoming southwest 5 to 9 mph
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......12000 ft AGL decreasing to 6800 ft AGL by 2100, then
                    decreasing to 1000 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 mph becoming variable up to 3 mph.

$$
Forecaster...SMITH
Requested by...ECC Dispatch
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2417976.0/LOX
.DELDT 07/13/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL slu.ecc@fire.ca.gov