Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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ECCDA Discussions
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
339 PM PDT Fri Jul 5 2024

ECC029-061645-
Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch
339 PM PDT Fri Jul 5 2024

...Discussion from Monterey...

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT SATURDAY FOR
CRITICALLY DRY FUELS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR NORTH BAY INTERIOR
MOUNTAINS, EAST BAY HILLS, SANTA CRUZ MOUNTAINS, SANTA LUCIA
MOUNTAINS, MOUNTAINS OF SAN BENTIO COUNTY AND INTERIOR MONTEREY
COUNTY, AND THE SOUTHERN SALINAS VALLEY...

Onshore winds are breezy along the coast and lowlands and will offer
slight increases in RH over the next few  days. However the long
period of above average temperatures will continue to dry fire
fuels. ERC values are exceeding or  approaching the max moving
average for a number of regions.  Conditions are dangerous, and we
urge extreme caution.


Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified.
Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds.



...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY FOR THE INTERSTATE
5 CORRIDOR AND  WESTERN ANTELOPE VALLEY FOOTHILLS DUE TO GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS, HOT TEMPERATURES, AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY FOR THE VENTURA
COUNTY MOUNTAINS, SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS, SOUTHWEST SANTA
BARBARA COAST, INTERIOR SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY, AND CUYAMA VALLEY...

...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ELSEWHERE ACROSS VALLEYS  MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT
WEEK...

Long lasting and extremely hot conditions Will continue through much
of next week. Today will likely be the hottest across much of the
region as the onshore flow weakened and some northerly wind flow has
pushed hotter and drier conditions closer to the coast. On Saturday,
similar very hot temperatures are expected across the interior, but
some increasing onshore flow should bring some cooling to the coast
and coastal valleys. A few all time record highs will be threatened
today and Saturday. Over the lower mountains, interior valleys, and
deserts, high temperatures of 108 to 118 will be common today and
Saturday with minimum humidities falling to 5 to 10 percent each
day. Over the coastal valleys and foothills, high temperatures will
climb to 100 to 110 today with minimum humidities falling to 10 to
20 percent. Sundowner winds will likely expand in coverage across
much of the Santa Ynez Range this afternoon through tonight,
descending into portions of the foothills including areas near San
Marcos Pass, Mission Canyon, and Montecito Hills. Northwest to north
wind gusts of 25 to 40 mph will be  common in sundowner prone areas
as well as the I-5 corridor through tonight, except isolated gusts
to around 45 mph near Gaviota/Refugio this evening. Areas exposed to
the sundowner winds will likely see temperatures soar to between
90 and 105 degrees through this evening, with minimum humidities
falling to 10 to 20 percent...especially in the foothills. Overnight
lows between 75 and 90 will be common in the mountains, foothills
and deserts with poor humidity recoveries of 15 to 30 percent.
Meanwhile, northwest to northeast winds gusting between 15 and
35 mph will be common today over many mountains, interior valleys,
and the Antelope Valley. The extreme heat will also generate very
deep mixing heights of 10000 to 18000 feet today through the weekend
across the interior, increasing the potential for large plume
dominated fires, especially in the mountains and foothills. While
classic Red Flag Warning  threshold durations will likely not be
met, considering the extreme nature of this heat event (including
the plume dominated fire potential) and the holiday fire ignition
sources available, conditions are favorable for rapid fire spread
and extreme fire behavior, potentially threatening life and
property.

Less hot conditions are likely for the coastal and adjacent valley
areas by Sunday and Monday, but the extremely hot conditions will
change  little over the mountains and interior through most if not
all of next week. Onshore flow will likely be on the increase
Saturday through Monday, which will likely lead to increasing
southwest to northwest winds.  The interior areas could see
widespread wind gusts of 25 to 40 mph Saturday night into Sunday
night. The best overlap of gusty northwest winds and low humidities
will likely occur in the Interstate 5 corridor and western Antelope
Valley foothills, which prompted the extension of the Red Flag
Warning for those areas through Sunday night.

This is one of the longest and most extreme heat waves on  record
for interior areas. Elevated fire weather conditions will  continue
for the foreseeable future, with a higher risk for large fires  and
plume dominated fires. There is a high risk for heat related
illness as well.


$$

ECC028-061645-
Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch
339 PM PDT Fri Jul 5 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY FOR THE INTERSTATE
5 CORRIDOR AND  WESTERN ANTELOPE VALLEY FOOTHILLS DUE TO GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS, HOT TEMPERATURES, AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY FOR THE VENTURA
COUNTY MOUNTAINS, SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS, SOUTHWEST SANTA
BARBARA COAST, INTERIOR SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY, AND CUYAMA VALLEY...

...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ELSEWHERE ACROSS VALLEYS  MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT
WEEK...

Long lasting and extremely hot conditions Will continue through much
of next week. Today will likely be the hottest across much of the
region as the onshore flow weakened and some northerly wind flow has
pushed hotter and drier conditions closer to the coast. On Saturday,
similar very hot temperatures are expected across the interior, but
some increasing onshore flow should bring some cooling to the coast
and coastal valleys. A few all time record highs will be threatened
today and Saturday. Over the lower mountains, interior valleys, and
deserts, high temperatures of 108 to 118 will be common today and
Saturday with minimum humidities falling to 5 to 10 percent each
day. Over the coastal valleys and foothills, high temperatures will
climb to 100 to 110 today with minimum humidities falling to 10 to
20 percent. Sundowner winds will likely expand in coverage across
much of the Santa Ynez Range this afternoon through tonight,
descending into portions of the foothills including areas near San
Marcos Pass, Mission Canyon, and Montecito Hills. Northwest to north
wind gusts of 25 to 40 mph will be  common in sundowner prone areas
as well as the I-5 corridor through tonight, except isolated gusts
to around 45 mph near Gaviota/Refugio this evening. Areas exposed to
the sundowner winds will likely see temperatures soar to between
90 and 105 degrees through this evening, with minimum humidities
falling to 10 to 20 percent...especially in the foothills. Overnight
lows between 75 and 90 will be common in the mountains, foothills
and deserts with poor humidity recoveries of 15 to 30 percent.
Meanwhile, northwest to northeast winds gusting between 15 and
35 mph will be common today over many mountains, interior valleys,
and the Antelope Valley. The extreme heat will also generate very
deep mixing heights of 10000 to 18000 feet today through the weekend
across the interior, increasing the potential for large plume
dominated fires, especially in the mountains and foothills. While
classic Red Flag Warning  threshold durations will likely not be
met, considering the extreme nature of this heat event (including
the plume dominated fire potential) and the holiday fire ignition
sources available, conditions are favorable for rapid fire spread
and extreme fire behavior, potentially threatening life and
property.

Less hot conditions are likely for the coastal and adjacent valley
areas by Sunday and Monday, but the extremely hot conditions will
change  little over the mountains and interior through most if not
all of next week. Onshore flow will likely be on the increase
Saturday through Monday, which will likely lead to increasing
southwest to northwest winds.  The interior areas could see
widespread wind gusts of 25 to 40 mph Saturday night into Sunday
night. The best overlap of gusty northwest winds and low humidities
will likely occur in the Interstate 5 corridor and western Antelope
Valley foothills, which prompted the extension of the Red Flag
Warning for those areas through Sunday night.

This is one of the longest and most extreme heat waves on  record
for interior areas. Elevated fire weather conditions will  continue
for the foreseeable future, with a higher risk for large fires  and
plume dominated fires. There is a high risk for heat related
illness as well.


$$

ECC031-061645-
Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch
339 PM PDT Fri Jul 5 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY FOR THE INTERSTATE
5 CORRIDOR AND  WESTERN ANTELOPE VALLEY FOOTHILLS DUE TO GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS, HOT TEMPERATURES, AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY FOR THE VENTURA
COUNTY MOUNTAINS, SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS, SOUTHWEST SANTA
BARBARA COAST, INTERIOR SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY, AND CUYAMA VALLEY...

...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ELSEWHERE ACROSS VALLEYS  MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT
WEEK...

Long lasting and extremely hot conditions Will continue through much
of next week. Today will likely be the hottest across much of the
region as the onshore flow weakened and some northerly wind flow has
pushed hotter and drier conditions closer to the coast. On Saturday,
similar very hot temperatures are expected across the interior, but
some increasing onshore flow should bring some cooling to the coast
and coastal valleys. A few all time record highs will be threatened
today and Saturday. Over the lower mountains, interior valleys, and
deserts, high temperatures of 108 to 118 will be common today and
Saturday with minimum humidities falling to 5 to 10 percent each
day. Over the coastal valleys and foothills, high temperatures will
climb to 100 to 110 today with minimum humidities falling to 10 to
20 percent. Sundowner winds will likely expand in coverage across
much of the Santa Ynez Range this afternoon through tonight,
descending into portions of the foothills including areas near San
Marcos Pass, Mission Canyon, and Montecito Hills. Northwest to north
wind gusts of 25 to 40 mph will be  common in sundowner prone areas
as well as the I-5 corridor through tonight, except isolated gusts
to around 45 mph near Gaviota/Refugio this evening. Areas exposed to
the sundowner winds will likely see temperatures soar to between
90 and 105 degrees through this evening, with minimum humidities
falling to 10 to 20 percent...especially in the foothills. Overnight
lows between 75 and 90 will be common in the mountains, foothills
and deserts with poor humidity recoveries of 15 to 30 percent.
Meanwhile, northwest to northeast winds gusting between 15 and
35 mph will be common today over many mountains, interior valleys,
and the Antelope Valley. The extreme heat will also generate very
deep mixing heights of 10000 to 18000 feet today through the weekend
across the interior, increasing the potential for large plume
dominated fires, especially in the mountains and foothills. While
classic Red Flag Warning  threshold durations will likely not be
met, considering the extreme nature of this heat event (including
the plume dominated fire potential) and the holiday fire ignition
sources available, conditions are favorable for rapid fire spread
and extreme fire behavior, potentially threatening life and
property.

Less hot conditions are likely for the coastal and adjacent valley
areas by Sunday and Monday, but the extremely hot conditions will
change  little over the mountains and interior through most if not
all of next week. Onshore flow will likely be on the increase
Saturday through Monday, which will likely lead to increasing
southwest to northwest winds.  The interior areas could see
widespread wind gusts of 25 to 40 mph Saturday night into Sunday
night. The best overlap of gusty northwest winds and low humidities
will likely occur in the Interstate 5 corridor and western Antelope
Valley foothills, which prompted the extension of the Red Flag
Warning for those areas through Sunday night.

This is one of the longest and most extreme heat waves on  record
for interior areas. Elevated fire weather conditions will  continue
for the foreseeable future, with a higher risk for large fires  and
plume dominated fires. There is a high risk for heat related
illness as well.


$$

ECC024-061645-
San Luis Obispo County-
Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch
339 PM PDT Fri Jul 5 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY FOR THE INTERSTATE
5 CORRIDOR AND  WESTERN ANTELOPE VALLEY FOOTHILLS DUE TO GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS, HOT TEMPERATURES, AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY FOR THE VENTURA
COUNTY MOUNTAINS, SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS, SOUTHWEST SANTA
BARBARA COAST, INTERIOR SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY, AND CUYAMA VALLEY...

...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ELSEWHERE ACROSS VALLEYS  MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT
WEEK...

Long lasting and extremely hot conditions Will continue through much
of next week. Today will likely be the hottest across much of the
region as the onshore flow weakened and some northerly wind flow has
pushed hotter and drier conditions closer to the coast. On Saturday,
similar very hot temperatures are expected across the interior, but
some increasing onshore flow should bring some cooling to the coast
and coastal valleys. A few all time record highs will be threatened
today and Saturday. Over the lower mountains, interior valleys, and
deserts, high temperatures of 108 to 118 will be common today and
Saturday with minimum humidities falling to 5 to 10 percent each
day. Over the coastal valleys and foothills, high temperatures will
climb to 100 to 110 today with minimum humidities falling to 10 to
20 percent. Sundowner winds will likely expand in coverage across
much of the Santa Ynez Range this afternoon through tonight,
descending into portions of the foothills including areas near San
Marcos Pass, Mission Canyon, and Montecito Hills. Northwest to north
wind gusts of 25 to 40 mph will be  common in sundowner prone areas
as well as the I-5 corridor through tonight, except isolated gusts
to around 45 mph near Gaviota/Refugio this evening. Areas exposed to
the sundowner winds will likely see temperatures soar to between
90 and 105 degrees through this evening, with minimum humidities
falling to 10 to 20 percent...especially in the foothills. Overnight
lows between 75 and 90 will be common in the mountains, foothills
and deserts with poor humidity recoveries of 15 to 30 percent.
Meanwhile, northwest to northeast winds gusting between 15 and
35 mph will be common today over many mountains, interior valleys,
and the Antelope Valley. The extreme heat will also generate very
deep mixing heights of 10000 to 18000 feet today through the weekend
across the interior, increasing the potential for large plume
dominated fires, especially in the mountains and foothills. While
classic Red Flag Warning  threshold durations will likely not be
met, considering the extreme nature of this heat event (including
the plume dominated fire potential) and the holiday fire ignition
sources available, conditions are favorable for rapid fire spread
and extreme fire behavior, potentially threatening life and
property.

Less hot conditions are likely for the coastal and adjacent valley
areas by Sunday and Monday, but the extremely hot conditions will
change  little over the mountains and interior through most if not
all of next week. Onshore flow will likely be on the increase
Saturday through Monday, which will likely lead to increasing
southwest to northwest winds.  The interior areas could see
widespread wind gusts of 25 to 40 mph Saturday night into Sunday
night. The best overlap of gusty northwest winds and low humidities
will likely occur in the Interstate 5 corridor and western Antelope
Valley foothills, which prompted the extension of the Red Flag
Warning for those areas through Sunday night.

This is one of the longest and most extreme heat waves on  record
for interior areas. Elevated fire weather conditions will  continue
for the foreseeable future, with a higher risk for large fires  and
plume dominated fires. There is a high risk for heat related
illness as well.


$$

ECC032-061645-
Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch
339 PM PDT Fri Jul 5 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY FOR THE INTERSTATE
5 CORRIDOR AND  WESTERN ANTELOPE VALLEY FOOTHILLS DUE TO GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS, HOT TEMPERATURES, AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY FOR THE VENTURA
COUNTY MOUNTAINS, SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS, SOUTHWEST SANTA
BARBARA COAST, INTERIOR SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY, AND CUYAMA VALLEY...

...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ELSEWHERE ACROSS VALLEYS  MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT
WEEK...

Long lasting and extremely hot conditions Will continue through much
of next week. Today will likely be the hottest across much of the
region as the onshore flow weakened and some northerly wind flow has
pushed hotter and drier conditions closer to the coast. On Saturday,
similar very hot temperatures are expected across the interior, but
some increasing onshore flow should bring some cooling to the coast
and coastal valleys. A few all time record highs will be threatened
today and Saturday. Over the lower mountains, interior valleys, and
deserts, high temperatures of 108 to 118 will be common today and
Saturday with minimum humidities falling to 5 to 10 percent each
day. Over the coastal valleys and foothills, high temperatures will
climb to 100 to 110 today with minimum humidities falling to 10 to
20 percent. Sundowner winds will likely expand in coverage across
much of the Santa Ynez Range this afternoon through tonight,
descending into portions of the foothills including areas near San
Marcos Pass, Mission Canyon, and Montecito Hills. Northwest to north
wind gusts of 25 to 40 mph will be  common in sundowner prone areas
as well as the I-5 corridor through tonight, except isolated gusts
to around 45 mph near Gaviota/Refugio this evening. Areas exposed to
the sundowner winds will likely see temperatures soar to between
90 and 105 degrees through this evening, with minimum humidities
falling to 10 to 20 percent...especially in the foothills. Overnight
lows between 75 and 90 will be common in the mountains, foothills
and deserts with poor humidity recoveries of 15 to 30 percent.
Meanwhile, northwest to northeast winds gusting between 15 and
35 mph will be common today over many mountains, interior valleys,
and the Antelope Valley. The extreme heat will also generate very
deep mixing heights of 10000 to 18000 feet today through the weekend
across the interior, increasing the potential for large plume
dominated fires, especially in the mountains and foothills. While
classic Red Flag Warning  threshold durations will likely not be
met, considering the extreme nature of this heat event (including
the plume dominated fire potential) and the holiday fire ignition
sources available, conditions are favorable for rapid fire spread
and extreme fire behavior, potentially threatening life and
property.

Less hot conditions are likely for the coastal and adjacent valley
areas by Sunday and Monday, but the extremely hot conditions will
change  little over the mountains and interior through most if not
all of next week. Onshore flow will likely be on the increase
Saturday through Monday, which will likely lead to increasing
southwest to northwest winds.  The interior areas could see
widespread wind gusts of 25 to 40 mph Saturday night into Sunday
night. The best overlap of gusty northwest winds and low humidities
will likely occur in the Interstate 5 corridor and western Antelope
Valley foothills, which prompted the extension of the Red Flag
Warning for those areas through Sunday night.

This is one of the longest and most extreme heat waves on  record
for interior areas. Elevated fire weather conditions will  continue
for the foreseeable future, with a higher risk for large fires  and
plume dominated fires. There is a high risk for heat related
illness as well.


$$

ECC030-061645-
Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch
339 PM PDT Fri Jul 5 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY FOR THE INTERSTATE
5 CORRIDOR AND  WESTERN ANTELOPE VALLEY FOOTHILLS DUE TO GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS, HOT TEMPERATURES, AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY FOR THE VENTURA
COUNTY MOUNTAINS, SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS, SOUTHWEST SANTA
BARBARA COAST, INTERIOR SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY, AND CUYAMA VALLEY...

...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ELSEWHERE ACROSS VALLEYS  MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT
WEEK...

Long lasting and extremely hot conditions Will continue through much
of next week. Today will likely be the hottest across much of the
region as the onshore flow weakened and some northerly wind flow has
pushed hotter and drier conditions closer to the coast. On Saturday,
similar very hot temperatures are expected across the interior, but
some increasing onshore flow should bring some cooling to the coast
and coastal valleys. A few all time record highs will be threatened
today and Saturday. Over the lower mountains, interior valleys, and
deserts, high temperatures of 108 to 118 will be common today and
Saturday with minimum humidities falling to 5 to 10 percent each
day. Over the coastal valleys and foothills, high temperatures will
climb to 100 to 110 today with minimum humidities falling to 10 to
20 percent. Sundowner winds will likely expand in coverage across
much of the Santa Ynez Range this afternoon through tonight,
descending into portions of the foothills including areas near San
Marcos Pass, Mission Canyon, and Montecito Hills. Northwest to north
wind gusts of 25 to 40 mph will be  common in sundowner prone areas
as well as the I-5 corridor through tonight, except isolated gusts
to around 45 mph near Gaviota/Refugio this evening. Areas exposed to
the sundowner winds will likely see temperatures soar to between
90 and 105 degrees through this evening, with minimum humidities
falling to 10 to 20 percent...especially in the foothills. Overnight
lows between 75 and 90 will be common in the mountains, foothills
and deserts with poor humidity recoveries of 15 to 30 percent.
Meanwhile, northwest to northeast winds gusting between 15 and
35 mph will be common today over many mountains, interior valleys,
and the Antelope Valley. The extreme heat will also generate very
deep mixing heights of 10000 to 18000 feet today through the weekend
across the interior, increasing the potential for large plume
dominated fires, especially in the mountains and foothills. While
classic Red Flag Warning  threshold durations will likely not be
met, considering the extreme nature of this heat event (including
the plume dominated fire potential) and the holiday fire ignition
sources available, conditions are favorable for rapid fire spread
and extreme fire behavior, potentially threatening life and
property.

Less hot conditions are likely for the coastal and adjacent valley
areas by Sunday and Monday, but the extremely hot conditions will
change  little over the mountains and interior through most if not
all of next week. Onshore flow will likely be on the increase
Saturday through Monday, which will likely lead to increasing
southwest to northwest winds.  The interior areas could see
widespread wind gusts of 25 to 40 mph Saturday night into Sunday
night. The best overlap of gusty northwest winds and low humidities
will likely occur in the Interstate 5 corridor and western Antelope
Valley foothills, which prompted the extension of the Red Flag
Warning for those areas through Sunday night.

This is one of the longest and most extreme heat waves on  record
for interior areas. Elevated fire weather conditions will  continue
for the foreseeable future, with a higher risk for large fires  and
plume dominated fires. There is a high risk for heat related
illness as well.


$$