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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA
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470 FXUS64 KLIX 141714 AFDLIX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New Orleans LA 1214 PM CDT Wed Aug 14 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Thursday) Issued at 304 AM CDT Wed Aug 14 2024 The heat will be dialed up a notch today. The actual temps will be high enough as it is but now that the dew pt temps have also risen, we will begin to feel the upper range of heat advisory criteria. This could potentially be the hottest feeling day of the week but that is still questionable. We will fall on the periphery of the stacked ridge out west, so there will be some storms rotating down into the area over the coming days. Some of these could develop deep enough to become strong or even severe, but not widespread. && .LONG TERM... (Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 304 AM CDT Wed Aug 14 2024 Day to day storms will develop in different areas that the day before but a front will try to make its way to the area with more activity along it by the weekend. This could bring several storms into the area mainly late Sat into Sat night. Again, some of these could be strong or severe but at the moment severe storms are not expected to be widespread. Some areas will get this much needed rain while others will continue to bake. But the good thing will be some of the mid and upper cloud cover could keep the heat down a few degrees during the hottest part of each day. This will have to be looked on a daily basis. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1212 PM CDT Wed Aug 14 2024 High pressure and dry air will help keep all terminals VFR throughout the forecast period. Isolated convection is possible across the area later this afternoon around 22z, but with it expected to be very isolated, confidence is not high enough to mention in TAFs. Any convection that does form should dissipate shortly after sunset this evening. && .MARINE... Issued at 304 AM CDT Wed Aug 14 2024 As sfc highs move in and out of the area, wind direction will be around the compass through the week but will be rather light at 10kt or less. Higher winds and seas will be in and around storms. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... MCB 75 97 75 95 / 20 50 20 50 BTR 80 99 79 98 / 10 30 20 50 ASD 78 98 77 95 / 20 50 30 70 MSY 80 97 80 95 / 20 40 20 70 GPT 78 96 79 92 / 30 50 30 70 PQL 77 99 77 96 / 20 60 40 70 && .LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for LAZ034>037-039- 046>048-056>060-064>071-076>090. GM...None. MS...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for MSZ068>071-077- 083>088. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...TE LONG TERM....TE AVIATION...JZ MARINE...TE