722
FXUS64 KLCH 091125
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
625 AM CDT Tue Jul 9 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday night)
Issued at 412 AM CDT Tue Jul 9 2024

The remnant of Beryl continues to move northeastward this morning
with some isolated showers and storms still about the lower
Acadiana area to gulf waters. Rain associated with the system is
expected to taper eastward out of the area through the evening
hours. All associated hazards brought by the system have now
expired.

The short term is near typical for this time of year. Temperatures
will be at or slightly above normal; with highs in the low to mid
90s and lows in the low to mid 70s. Dewpoints will be in the upper
60s to mid 70s, making it feel pretty warm and humid, but not quite
heat hazard hot. Outside of today`s PoPs being Beryl influenced, the
rest of the forecast calls for mostly diurnal driven isolated to
scattered showers and storms, mainly in the southern half of the CWA
and over the gulf.

Stigger/87

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Tuesday)
Issued at 412 AM CDT Tue Jul 9 2024

A broad upper trof extending across much of the eastern U.S. will
maintain general weakness aloft Friday through the weekend. This,
combined with a band of deep moisture along the gulf coast and
daytime heating will allow for above normal afternoon convective
coverage each afternoon. The convection and blowoff should keep
daytime highs near to perhaps a couple degrees below normals. With
dewpoints expected to remain in the mid to upper 70s, lows will be
capped in this range. Very few features at the surface level will
allow winds to be primarily driven by developing seabreezes and
outflow boundaries and will, otherwise, be very light and variable.

The aforementioned trof begins to shift closer to the East coast by
Monday by varying degrees between guidance. The result will be a
reversion back to the more typical 30-40% daily afternoon PoPs to
begin next week.

Jones

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 618 AM CDT Tue Jul 9 2024

Mostly VFR to MVFR due to CIGs along with a few showers and
storms remain along the coast and across parts of lower Acadiana
this morning. This activity will be hit or miss through the day.
Outside of a storm moving over a terminal, VFR is expected through
the rest of the period past the mid morning hours.
Stigger/87

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 412 AM CDT Tue Jul 9 2024

Beryl continues to move northeast out of the region this morning.
Winds and seas will continue to subside over the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  90  70  93  71 /  10   0  10   0
LCH  91  75  91  75 /  20  10  30  10
LFT  92  77  93  76 /  50  10  40  10
BPT  92  75  93  75 /  10  10  20  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...87
LONG TERM....66
AVIATION...87