Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE
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595 FXUS63 KLBF 080513 AFDLBF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service North Platte NE 1213 AM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... * Isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible through this afternoon across mainly north central Nebraska with the risk of severe storms being low. * Quieter and cooler weather with temperatures in the 70s will gradually rise back into the 90s by the end of the week and into next weekend. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Issued at 346 PM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024 Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue across portions of north central Nebraska through this afternoon as a shortwave trough tracks across southwest Nebraska. Cooler temperatures combined with limited stability will limit widespread severe potential. However a few stronger to briefly severe storms are still possible that may result in some hail and briefly gusty winds. Localized flooding will also be a concern again as heavy rainfall falls on saturated ground. Any heavy rainfall should be short lived and flooding should remain brief. Lingering storms will begin to dissipate by early evening as diurnal heating lessens towards sunset. Gradual clearing of skies will allow overnight low temperatures to drop into the low to mid 50s. While these temperatures won`t harm vegetation or crops, they are nearly 5 to 10 degrees below normal for this time of year. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... Issued at 346 PM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024 Upper level ridging across the western US will allow for surface high pressure to build southward into the Great Plains on Monday lasting through much of next week. Cooler air will continue to push into the region keeping highs in the low to mid 80s on Monday, which is slightly below normal (normal in the upper 80s). Temperatures will gradually warm throughout the week, returning into the 90s by next weekend, with some locations south of I-80 even hitting the lower 100s. Heat headlines are not in effect at this time, but may be necessary for next weekend as surface temperatures rise and confidence in the warming trend increases. While the majority of next week remains quiet, a few isolated chances for rain showers and thunderstorms are possible during the afternoon by late week across northern Nebraska. Confidence remains too low at this time to put even a mention into the forecast, but some models are hinting at these diurnally driven storms. Severe storms are not anticipated, but this may change in the upcoming days as we get a better handle on the boundary layer environment. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/... Issued at 1208 AM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024 Northwest winds aloft will spread dry stable air into wrn and ncntl Nebraska overnight and Monday. Isolated showers are possible overnight. Otherwise stable air will remain across the region and VFR will be widespread. The risk of MVFR or lower flight conditions will remain low. && .LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Kulik LONG TERM...Kulik AVIATION...CDC