708
FXUS63 KLBF 200856
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
356 AM CDT Fri Sep 20 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

*Advancing cold front Friday night into Saturday

*Chance of scattered thunderstorms Saturday

*Cooler temperatures Saturday and Sunday into early next week
&&


.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 345 AM CDT Fri Sep 20 2024

The main concern in the short term will be temperatures and
precipitation chances. Highs on Saturday will be in the upper 60s to
mid 70s. Coldest temperatures will be across the northwest Sandhills
where the front will move across the earliest. Warmer temperatures
will be across southern Nebraska where the front will pass through
later in the day.


As for thunderstorm chances, trends have continued to decrease PoPs
with the latest forecast model runs, and less confidence in seeing
any widespread rainfall, however there still remains a chance of
scattered thunderstorms. Thunderstorm chances may start as early as
late morning, depending on the timing of the front. As for severe
weather chances, the chance for a severe storm is low. The
environment will only be marginally favorable, CAPE values around
1000 J/kg or less and drier air with the advancing cold front will
also hinder the development of storms. If any shower or thunderstorm
does develop tomorrow, qpf values are quite low so don`t expect a
wetting rain, generally less than 0.05.
&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 345 AM CDT Fri Sep 20 2024

On Sunday, overnight lingering rain showers will continue
into Sunday afternoon. Temperatures are expected to remain cool
Sunday with cloud cover and rain showers keeping highs only in the
mid to upper 50s across most of the forecast area. The cooler
temperatures will be brief as the pattern shifts, an upper
level ridge begins to build in from the west by early next week,
progressing eastward and centered over the High Plains region
by Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1249 AM CDT Fri Sep 20 2024

VRF conditions are expected through the forecast period.

High level clouds are moving through southern Nebraska which
will overspread the LBF airspace. Bases will safely remain above
20kft AGL. Main aviation concern through the period will be
gusty south-southwest winds at both terminals. While speeds
should remain 25 knots or less at LBF, stronger speeds are
probable at VTN and may approach 30 knots. Confidence in seeing
speeds higher than this is low at this time but cannot be
completely ruled out. Trends will be monitored with subsequent
forecasts for any necessary increases.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Snively
SHORT TERM...Gomez
LONG TERM...Gomez
AVIATION...NMJ