Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
948 FXUS62 KKEY 120304 AFDKEY Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 1104 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2024 ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1100 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2024 After what started as an active day quickly simmered down during the afternoon and early evening. There are still some lingering stratiform showers moving down from the Mainland and on occasion over the island chain. This activities pales in comparison of what moved through earlier. A TUTT just northeast of the Bahamas continues to spin this evening as it slowly treks northwest towards the Carolinas. Meanwhile, a mid level ridge is being pinched between this feature and a deep trough across the Central Plains. This is making for a steering flow more so dominated by the mid level flow, hence why showers are moving north to south. With that being said, rain chances will be minimum for the overnight. Although moisture continues to gradually increase, there is still a persistent layer of dry air in the mid levels that is helping to evaporate much of the light precipitation that is attempting to fall. It is possible this evaporation is adding momentum to the winds as the coastal waters off the Upper Keys remain much higher than the rest of our waters despite no convection occurring. Winds should tend to relax as we go into the overnight with winds generally remain east to southeast as a low level ridge axis remains weakly defined north of the Keys. && .MARINE... Issued at 1100 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2024 Mainly light to gentle easterly breezes will prevail across the Florida Keys coastal waters through the rest of the work week, as high pressure remains in place from the Atlantic across the Florida peninsula and into the Gulf of Mexico. The high will strengthen over the western Atlantic this weekend, bringing moderate easterly breezes to the Keys waters Saturday through at least Sunday night. Breezes will begin to slack on Monday. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 1100 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2024 VFR conditions will prevail across the region for the overnight. Winds will remain from the east and southeast. Moisture will gradually increase during the day on Friday and showers may return as early as 15Z. && .KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GM...None. && $$ Public/Marine/Fire...LIW Aviation/Nowcasts....AJP Data Acquisition.....AJP Visit us on the web at weather.gov/key Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: www.facebook.com/nwskeywest www.twitter.com/nwskeywest