Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
085 FXUS62 KKEY 031517 AFDKEY Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 1117 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1100 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 GOES-16 satellite imagery highlights a busy synoptic picture for local Florida Keys meteorologists. The northward displacement of Major Hurricane Beryl, headed towards the southern Jamaican coastline, is being stinted by a formidable mid-level ridge, centered over the Southeast United States. The 12z sounding at KEY highlights one of the first true (albeit modest) Saharan Air Layer (SAL) events occurring closer to home in the Florida Keys. The net result is locally mostly sunny skies, with only isolated shallow showers for the Florida Keys, and temperatures quickly approaching to near 90F. For the rest of today, general meteorological reasoning suggests most locations should remain mostly sunny to partly cloudy, with only a few locations experiencing a brief, isolated shower. With that said, we need to monitor the evolution of Beryl, which continues to slowly weaken on its approach to Jamaica. Occasionally, these weakening systems can launch an outer squall on its periphery. Based on current trends, no changes necessary to the inherited short-term forecast. && .MARINE... Issued at 1100 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 There are no watches, warnings, or advisories currently in effect for the coastal waters of the Florida Keys. From synopsis, high pressure over the western North Atlantic will maintain gentle to moderate easterly breezes. Hurricane Beryl is well south of the Florida Keys, and this will remain the case, but breezes will briefly freshen through tonight as Beryl makes its closest approach to the coastal waters. As Beryl approaches the Bay of Campeche and the high shifts in the North Atlantic, gentle breezes will veer to the southeast over the weekend. && .AVIATION... (15Z TAFS) Issued at 1100 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 VFR and easterly breezes will prevail at the EYW and MTH terminals through the afternoon. By 18-21Z, easterly winds will start to gust to near 20 knots. Chances for any direct impacts from possible showers remains low at this time. && .KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GM...None. && $$ Public/Marine/Fire...BT Aviation/Nowcasts....LIW Data Acquisition.....LIW Visit us on the web at weather.gov/key Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: www.facebook.com/nwskeywest www.twitter.com/nwskeywest