157
FXUS63 KIWX 160757
AFDIWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
357 AM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

* There a low chances (20-30%) for a few showers and storms today
  into Wednesday. Severe storms are not expected.

* Dry weather, seasonable temperatures and lower humidity
  midweek through this weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 352 AM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

Mature MCV now into southeast MI has forced an active trailing
composite outflow boundary south into central IN/IL. This will
likely remain the focus for more additional activity today into
tonight, though will have to monitor for widely scattered convection
to redevelop locally as moderate diurnal instability takes place on
the northern fringe of the stable bubble and incoming synoptic cold
front. Shear and instability parameters do not support organized
severe convection. Dry and seasonably humid otherwise today.

An upper level trough will amplify southeast through the Great Lakes
Wednesday into Wednesday night with low chances for a few additional
showers along the associated synoptic cold front. A low level
anticyclone then follows in behind this front through this
weekend with comfortable humidity and dry conditions.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 124 AM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

MCS remnants clear early this morning with MVFR cigs settling
in for a time. Main composite outflow boundary to become the
focus for renewed convection this afternoon/evening south of the
terminals, though a cold front drops in with non-zero chances
for widely scattered convection mid afternoon through early
evening at mainly KFWA. Point chances are too low for a mention
in the TAF. Mainly VFR otherwise late morning through tonight.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...None.
OH...None.
MI...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Steinwedel
AVIATION...Steinwedel