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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
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830 FXUS61 KILN 170843 AFDILN AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wilmington OH 443 AM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024 .SYNOPSIS... A cold front will move through today. Cooler and drier conditions will then move into the area for several days. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING/... Showers are moving across portions of the region this morning. A cold front will move through today. Expect some additional showers and storms southeast of Interstate 71 this afternoon as the front comes through during peak heating. An isolated strong to severe storm will be possible with damaging wind the primary risk across far southeastern portions of the area. Added this mention to the HWO. && .SHORT TERM /8 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/... Precipitation will taper off during the first half of the night tonight as the cold front pushes east of the area. Cooler and drier conditions will then move into the area. With low temperatures tonight, some area locations will drop down into the 50s, while others will be in the 60s. High temperatures on Thursday will be in the 70s to around 80 degrees. With CAA on Thursday, expect cu to develop. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... Surface high pressure will slide slowly east across the southern Great Lakes and upper Ohio Valley through the weekend. This will lead to dry conditions and slightly moderating temperatures. Highs on Friday will be in the upper 70s to lower 80s, increasing to highs in the low to mid 80s by Sunday. Mid level troughing over the central US will shift slowly east through early next week. As it does the surface high will weaken across our area as moisture begins to increase from the the south. This will result in increasing chances for showers/thunderstorms from south to north across the area Monday into Tuesday. Highs both Monday and Tuesday will be mainly in the low to mid 80s. && .AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... There will be some isolated to scattered shower activity around this morning. Handled this with just a vcsh mention. There will also be some lower cigs in the MVFR to IFR range that move into portions of the region for a few hours this morning. Going into the day today a cold front will approach and then move through. This will allow for showers and thunderstorms at times until the passage of this feature. There will also be a wind shift with the front. OUTLOOK...No significant weather is expected at this time. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS... NEAR TERM... SHORT TERM... LONG TERM...JGL AVIATION...