Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
612 FNUS52 KILM 061920 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 320 PM EDT Sat Jul 6 2024 .DISCUSSION... Showers and storms are expected late this afternoon into this evening, with highest coverage expected inland while the coast remains mostly dry. The next several days will be not quite as hot and should provide a good coverage of diurnal storms, especially inland. Fog potential for tonight is Moderate. NCZ105>110-071130- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 320 PM EDT Sat Jul 6 2024 Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 30 30 50 Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 2 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 74 92 73 91 Max/Min RH (%) 97 58 96 59 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 6 G17 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 Lgt/Var S 5 Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.06 Precip Duration 1 1 2 Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 80/0800 2000 79/0800 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4100 4500 Transport Wind (mph) S 14 SE 13 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 57400 58500 ADI Early 59 Gen Good 35 Fair 37 Fair 34 Fair ADI Late 8 Poor 50 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 48 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 4 7 5 6 Max LVORI Late 6 2 6 2 Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 66 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-071130- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 320 PM EDT Sat Jul 6 2024 Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 30 40 40 60 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 4 3 3 4 Min/Max Temp 75 93 74 92 Max/Min RH (%) 97 56 97 56 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Amount 0.23 0.04 0.03 0.13 Precip Duration 2 2 1 4 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing 8 AM Precip End Continuing Continuing 2 AM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 78/0800 2000 80/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 5100 Transport Wind (mph) S 13 SE 12 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58500 61200 ADI Early 61 Good 35 Fair 38 Fair 33 Fair ADI Late 6 Very Poor 50 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 64 Good Max LVORI Early 5 8 5 8 Max LVORI Late 6 2 7 1 Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 4 Rain 7 Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 7 7 Turner Stability E B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-071130- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 320 PM EDT Sat Jul 6 2024 Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 20 20 50 Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 4 Min/Max Temp 74 92 73 91 Max/Min RH (%) 96 56 96 60 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 6 G17 Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 Lgt/Var SE 5 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 Precip Duration 1 1 2 Precip Begin 9 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 80/0800 2100 80/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 4 3 3 4 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 4400 Transport Wind (mph) S 12 SE 13 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 50400 57200 ADI Early 60 Gen Good 39 Fair 46 Gen Good 36 Fair ADI Late 5 Very Poor 52 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 55 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 5 7 5 7 Max LVORI Late 6 1 7 2 Min VSBY Early 7 5 Rain 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-071130- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 320 PM EDT Sat Jul 6 2024 Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 50 40 40 60 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 4 3 3 4 Min/Max Temp 74 92 73 92 Max/Min RH (%) 98 54 99 57 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Amount 0.31 0.07 0.06 0.14 Precip Duration 3 2 2 4 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 78/0800 2100 80/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 4 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5000 4900 Transport Wind (mph) S 12 SE 12 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 60000 58800 ADI Early 53 Gen Good 35 Fair 44 Gen Good 35 Fair ADI Late 5 Very Poor 52 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 56 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 5 9 5 9 Max LVORI Late 7 2 8 1 Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 4 Rain 6 Rain Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 6 Rain 7 Turner Stability E B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...Weiner