Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
904 FNUS52 KILM 051926 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 326 PM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024 .DISCUSSION... Very hot weather will continue Saturday but a scattering of late afternoon thunderstorms is also expected. The next several days will be not quite as hot and may offer up good coverage of storms especially inland. Fog potential for tonight is None. NCZ105>110-061130- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 326 PM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 20 20 40 Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 1 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 75 96 73 91 Max/Min RH (%) 96 58 92 60 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 7 G18 SW 5 S 6 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 5 S 8 G17 Lgt/Var S 6 Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 Precip Duration 1 1 2 Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 81/0800 2100 78/0600 Dispersion Fair Poor Haines Index 4 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 5000 Transport Wind (mph) S 14 S 12 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 64400 60000 ADI Early 51 Gen Good 57 Gen Good 60 Gen Good 36 Fair ADI Late 8 Poor 64 Good 7 Poor 51 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 4 6 4 5 Max LVORI Late 5 1 6 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-061130- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 326 PM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 40 40 50 Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 1 4 4 4 Min/Max Temp 76 98 73 92 Max/Min RH (%) 95 49 96 58 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 6 SW 4 S 4 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 4 S 5 Lgt/Var S 4 Precip Amount 0.00 0.13 0.09 0.10 Precip Duration 1 1 2 Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 80/0800 2100 78/0800 Dispersion Fair Very Poor Haines Index 3 4 3 4 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 6700 5700 Transport Wind (mph) S 13 S 10 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 87100 57000 ADI Early 83 Good 52 Gen Good 61 Good 43 Gen Good ADI Late 7 Poor 89 Good 5 Very Poor 54 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 4 6 5 6 Max LVORI Late 5 1 7 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7 Turner Stability E A E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with thunderstorms likely and a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-061130- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 326 PM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 30 30 40 Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 1 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 76 96 73 91 Max/Min RH (%) 97 54 94 60 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 7 G18 SW 4 S 5 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 4 S 7 G17 Lgt/Var SE 6 Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.05 Precip Duration 1 1 2 Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 80/0800 2100 79/0700 Dispersion Fair Very Poor Haines Index 4 4 3 3 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 5200 Transport Wind (mph) S 13 S 13 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 74100 67600 ADI Early 57 Gen Good 48 Gen Good 56 Gen Good 42 Gen Good ADI Late 7 Poor 69 Good 5 Very Poor 56 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 4 6 5 6 Max LVORI Late 6 1 6 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Light winds. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Light winds. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-061130- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 326 PM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 50 60 60 Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 1 4 4 4 Min/Max Temp 75 97 73 91 Max/Min RH (%) 95 50 98 59 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 6 SW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 4 S 5 Lgt/Var SE 4 Precip Amount 0.00 0.26 0.40 0.11 Precip Duration 2 3 4 Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 79/0800 2100 80/0900 Dispersion Fair Very Poor Haines Index 4 4 3 4 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 6400 6100 Transport Wind (mph) S 12 SE 10 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 76800 61000 ADI Early 107 Very Good49 Gen Good 45 Gen Good 38 Fair ADI Late 7 Poor 81 Good 5 Very Poor 57 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 4 6 6 7 Max LVORI Late 5 1 6 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 6 Rain Turner Stability E A E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$