479
FXUS64 KHGX 101957
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
257 PM CDT Wed Jul 10 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Thursday Night)
Issued at 221 PM CDT Wed Jul 10 2024

Southeast Texas will experience typical early/mid July conditions
through Thursday. It will be hot and humid with the usual cycle of
diurnal showers and thunderstorms. Scattered showers/storms are
popping up across our coastal counties as I type this AFD
(2:20PM), producing brief heavy downpours. These showers and
storms may push a little farther inland before the loss of
daytime heating results in their ultimate demise. Tomorrow looks
similar except there appears to be a better chance of these
showers and thunderstorms pushing farther inland.

Normally highs in the low/mid 90s with heat index values of 102 to
106 would not be considered a big weather headline in July.
However, given the continued power outage situation, we opted to
continue the Heat Advisory through tomorrow. Technically speaking,
normal southeast Texas heat is dangerous, particularly for
sensitive groups. But without AC, the heat becomes increasingly
hazardous. Further extensions of the heat advisory may be
warranted in future updates.

Self

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 221 PM CDT Wed Jul 10 2024

As we head into this upcoming weekend and begin to prepare for next
week,we can expect afternoon temperatures in the low 90s with
temperatures dropping to the lower 80s in the early morning time.
Dewpoints are predicted to be in the mid to upper 70s and will
consequently keep our feel-like temperatures ranging from 101 to
107. Slightly cooler temperatures are likely on Friday due to a
stationary boundary that will bring cloud cover to the area. Sadly,
we will be back to warmer temperatures the rest of the weekend and
even higher temperatures into next week. This is ultimately due to a
upper-level ridge that builds over the West and Central U.S as the
remnants of Beryl leave the Great Lake region. The ridge pattern
continues into next week and brings high temperatures approaching
the mid 90s. Scattered thunderstorms are likely on Friday and
Saturday as that stationary boundary sets up and onshore flow
progresses in the afternoon and early evening. A slight chance of
rain is possible on Sunday, but the rain chances decrease into
next week.

Hill

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1218 PM CDT Wed Jul 10 2024

VFR conditions will continue through the rest of the afternoon.
CIG heights will be around 2500 to 6000 FT. The main concern will
be isolated afternoon showers and t-storms that will be forming
along the sea breeze. Storms that do form over TAF sites will
temporarily drop VIS and CIG but will be short lived. Winds will
be from the NE this afternoon then becoming light and variable
overnight.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 300 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2024

Light to moderate onshore winds and relatively low seas should
generally keep conditions below advisory criteria through the
remainder of the week and into the weekend. With a stalled frontal
boundary remaining situated offshore, rainfall chances will remain
in the forecast over the next several days with chances being
highest through the weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)  74  95  74  92 /   0  10   0  30
Houston (IAH)  77  92  76  90 /  10  40  20  60
Galveston (GLS)  81  89  81  88 /  30  60  40  60

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for TXZ163-164-176>179-
     195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-300-313-335>338-436>439.

GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Self
LONG TERM....Hill / Self
AVIATION...WFO
MARINE...Cady