Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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359
FNUS53 KGRR 201937
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
337 PM EDT Sat Jul 20 2024

...Showers and storms north of I 96 possible Sunday afternoon...

.DISCUSSION...Patchy fog will again be possible Sunday morning.
Any fog will clear out by mid morning. Dewpoints will increase
tomorrow leading to higher humidity, it should be dry enough for
any showers and storms that form tomorrow to remain north of I 96.
Showers and storms will be possible Sunday afternoon into Sunday evening
 Any storms are not expected to be severe with around a half an
inch or less of QPF expected.


MIZ037>039-043>045-210815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
337 PM EDT Sat Jul 20 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Patchy fog after
                    3 AM.
Min temperature.....57-62.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    1800-2300 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-180 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Patchy fog until
                    9 AM. Slight chance of showers. Slight chance
                    of thunderstorms after 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....78-83.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........62-67 percent near Lake Michigan and 53-58
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 13
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5100-5600 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....250-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.69 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min temperature.....57-62.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-80 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....78-83.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4700-5200 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the west in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....230-370 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-210815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
337 PM EDT Sat Jul 20 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Patchy fog after
                    7 AM.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-110 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Patchy fog until
                    9 AM. Chance of showers. Chance of
                    thunderstorms after 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....76-81.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5200-5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northeast in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....210-330 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.44 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-110 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 82.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5600-6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....240-420 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-210815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
337 PM EDT Sat Jul 20 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Patchy fog after
                    4 AM.
Min temperature.....57-62.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....30-130 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....78-83.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........60-65 percent near Lake Michigan and 49-54
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 2
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5500-6000 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....240-310 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.47 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......400-900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1300-1800
                    ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....30-110 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog until
                    9 AM.
Max temperature.....79-84.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5500-6000 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....270-360 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-210815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
337 PM EDT Sat Jul 20 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL decreasing to 100-600 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-250 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog until
                    9 AM. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5800-6300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....250-320 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.21 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 61.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 83.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6200-6700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph shifting to the southwest in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....230-360 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-210815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
337 PM EDT Sat Jul 20 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 59.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 82.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6000-6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....220-280 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 62.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....30-90 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.08 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog until
                    9 AM.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5500-6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph shifting to the southwest in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....250-320 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds 5 to
6 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
60s. Southwest winds up to 5 mph in the evening becoming light.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
showers until midday, then showers likely in the afternoon. Highs in
the lower 80s. West winds 5 to 9 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. North winds 5 to 9 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s.

$$