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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
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060 FXUS63 KGRR 172332 AFDGRR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 732 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - Drying out this evening - Warm and dry weather ahead && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 309 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024 - Drying out this evening PWAT values drop steadily into the late afternoon hours with values falling to around 0.75 inches. Forecast soundings and bufkit overviews show considerable dry in the mid to upper levels during this period. Satellite imagery shows the skies clearing out Thus we will feature mostly clear conditions for tonight. Decent radiational cooling is expected, especially after midnight when the winds slowly diminish. We will feature well below normal temperatures for tonight with many locations seeing overnight lows in the low to mid 50`s. - Warm and dry weather ahead High pressure will continue to build over the region this weekend and into next week. This will allow for a nice period of overall dry/pleasant weather with fairly comfortable summertime temperatures and humidities. Daytime max temps will hover around normal through this period. The sole caveat will be a set of boundaries that will sweep through the region Sunday evening and Monday evening. These will be fueled by an upper level trough extending from northeastern Canada, though, latest models have it being a fairly open and weak wave by time it reaches us. There is some mid level moisture. The question is can it saturate the low levels and will there be enough warm air to overcome the dry stable air mass in place. So can`t rule out isolated showers/storms Sunday evening and Monday evening. && .AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/... Issued at 731 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024 VFR conditions through the TAF period. Breezy northwest winds to being to quiet down around or shortly after sunset with winds under 10kts expected for most of the TAF period after 02z. Could see some gusty winds return around or shortly after 18z, but if they do materialize it should generally be less than 15kts. Skies clearing this evening with little to no cloud cover expected for the next 24 hours. && .MARINE... Issued at 309 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024 The winds and waves have increased steadily this afternoon and many sites are showing wind gusts in the 15 to 25 knot range with locally higher values around Muskegon. Waves have built up to 3.5 to 4 feet in the nearshore waters based on the buoy`s but the north sides of the piers were seeing higher values. The swim and boat risk has increased considerably as a result and the hazardous conditions will persist into tonight. Water temperatures were warm, generally in the low to mid 70`s. && .GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MI...Beach Hazards Statement until 5 AM EDT Thursday for MIZ037-043- 050-056-064-071. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Thursday for LMZ844>849. && $$ DISCUSSION...MJS/Ceru AVIATION...Maczko MARINE...MJS