057
FNUS75 KGJT 150256
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Connected Lakes Fire...City of Grand Junction
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
856 PM MDT Sun Jul 14 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2100 MDT on July 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Primary forecast concern is in the next hour or so
as multiple outflow boundaries from nearby showers complicate the
wind forecast. These boundaries and showers will lead to increased
potential for strong winds with gusts to near 45 mph possible.
Winds will return to their typical southeast direction behind
showers later tonight. Isolated showers and storms are once again
possible on Monday afternoon with gusty outflow winds a primary
concern.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Slight chance for
                    showers and thunderstorms through 2200 resulting
                    in erratic wind direction and speed.
CWR.................10 percent.
Min temperature.....69-74.
Max humidity........33-38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Prevailing southeast winds 10 mph. Periods of
                    westerly out ahead of shower activity for the next
                    hour or so with sustained speeds of 20 to 30 mph
                    and gusts to near 45 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near showers and storms.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Isolated showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....98-102.
Min humidity........9-14 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 10 mph shifting to the west 10 to
                    15 mph in the afternoon. Occasional gusts to near 20
                    mph possible. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near showers and thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor through the morning, then fair. Becoming very
                    good and then excellent in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL increasing to 14700 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 mph shifting to the west 10 to 15 mph
                    in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...Megan Stackhouse
Requested by...S. Honk
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2418077.0/GJT
.DELDT 07/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL shonk@gjcity.org