Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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064
FNUS74 KFWD 111023
FWSFWD

Spot Forecast for FWNCR NE Pasture 2024...City of Fort Worth
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
523 AM CDT Thu Jul 11 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on July 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...OZONE ACTION DAY IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT TODAY THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...
Mostly sunny and seasonably hot conditions are expected today at
the burn site. Expect temperatures in the mid-70s this morning to
quickly rise into the upper-90s later this afternoon. Minimum
afternoon RH will hover around 30%. Light south winds generally
below 10 mph are expected throughout the day. Like yesterday, a
few very isolated, garden-variety thunderstorms may develop
across portions of North Texas. Coverage will be quite sparse
(~15% chance). If a thunderstorm does move near the burn site,
lightning and brief, gusty winds will be the main threats.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 98.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph early
                    in the afternoon, then shifting to the
                    southeast around 6 mph late in the afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......9200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast
                    6 to 8 mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........20  21  21  24  28  27  25  22
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH
Weather type....                        RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH
Temp............87  90  92  94  96  97  97  98
RH..............52  45  41  37  34  32  31  30
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  S   SE  SE  E   SE
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   5   5   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.7   7   7   8   9   10  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...3.1 4.8 6.1 6.9 7.8 8.8 9.2 8.8
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  S   SE  SE  E   E
Transp wind spd.10  8   6   6   6   6   7   8
Haines index....5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 76.
Max humidity........79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph becoming light.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 14 mph shifting to the south 10
                    to 12 mph after 3 am.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........20  13  9   6   8   3   6   4   4   2   1   1
Weather cov.....SCH
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........SCH
Temp............97  96  93  89  86  84  84  82  81  80  78  77
RH..............31  32  36  44  48  53  55  61  63  65  69  74
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   8   7   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   3
20 FT wind gust.13  13  12  10  10  10  9   8   8   8   8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...8.1 6.1 1.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.9   10  13  13  14  14  13  13  13  12  10  10
Haines index....6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 98.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3   4   4   7   4   6   6   8   9   12  14  13
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............77  76  79  82  88  90  92  95  96  97  98  97
RH..............74  79  72  65  54  49  44  39  36  34  32  35
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   5   5   6   6   6   6   7   8   9
20 FT wind gust.7   7   7   7   8   9   10  12  13  14  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.9 1.9 3.7 5.0 5.8 6.4 7.0 7.2 7.3 7.0
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.10  9   10  12  10  9   9   9   9   9   10  12
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

$$
Forecaster...Langfeld
Requested by...Jared Hall
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2417785.0/FWD
.DELDT 07/11/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jared.hall@fortworthtexas.gov