530
FNUS75 KFGZ 111543
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for FARM...DFFM
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
843 AM MST Sun Aug 11 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 MST on August 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Expect scattered showers and thunderstorms to develop
over the area this afternoon and evening. Heavy rainfall and strong
outflow wind gusts up to 50 mph are the biggest storm threats. Away
from storms, expect near average temperatures and breezy southwest winds.
Winds become light overnight with good RH recovery. Similar conditions
are forecast on Monday with less thunderstorm coverage.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....93 to 95.
Min humidity........29 to 31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 12 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......1202.
Mixing height.......10700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 knots shifting to the southwest
                    in the late morning and afternoon around 10 knots.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening, then slight
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....68 to 70.
Max humidity........77 to 79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 to 8 mph early in the evening,
                    becoming east to northeast drainage winds around 5 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......12.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots shifting to the
                    southeast in the late evening and overnight.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....92 to 94.
Min humidity........31 to 33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 12 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Good.
Clearing Index......673.
Mixing height.......7900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 knots shifting to the southwest
                    late in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...M TAYLOR
Requested by...Joe Abrams
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2420024.1/FGZ
.DELDT 08/11/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Jabrams@dffm.az.gov