010
FNUS75 KFGZ 111855
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Burke Mountain...Ft. Apache
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1155 AM MST Sun Aug 11 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1200 MST on August 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...An active monsoon pattern will continue through Monday
with scattered thunderstorms expected each afternoon and evening.
Better storm coverage is expected on Monday. Strong outflow winds
and heavy rain will be the primary storm threats. Outside of storms,
expect near average temperatures and breezy west to southwest afternoon
winds to prevail.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....85 to 87.
Min humidity........30 to 32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 10 mph with gusts
                    up to 20 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......1161.
Mixing height.......10300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
                    evening, then slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....60 to 62.
Max humidity........81 to 83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......2.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 knots shifting to the
                    northeast in the late evening and overnight.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. Showers with
                    thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....84 to 86.
Min humidity........34 to 36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West to southwest winds around 10 mph. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
LAL.................4.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......1028.
Mixing height.......10700 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 11100
                    ft AGL late in the afternoon, then decreasing
                    to 800 ft AGL late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 knots shifting to
                    the southwest around 10 knots early in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...M TAYLOR
Requested by...E-5268
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2420065.0/FGZ
.DELDT 08/11/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL azsdc@firenet.gov