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Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
010 FNUS75 KFGZ 111855 FWSFGZ Spot Forecast for Burke Mountain...Ft. Apache National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ 1155 AM MST Sun Aug 11 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1200 MST on August 11. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ .DISCUSSION...An active monsoon pattern will continue through Monday with scattered thunderstorms expected each afternoon and evening. Better storm coverage is expected on Monday. Strong outflow winds and heavy rain will be the primary storm threats. Outside of storms, expect near average temperatures and breezy west to southwest afternoon winds to prevail. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of pcpn......50 percent. Max temperature.....85 to 87. Min humidity........30 to 32 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 10 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. LAL.................3. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Max Vent Rate.......Excellent. Clearing Index......1161. Mixing height.......10300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms overnight. Chance of pcpn......50 percent. Min temperature.....60 to 62. Max humidity........81 to 83 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. LAL.................3. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Min Vent Rate.......Poor. Clearing Index......2. Mixing height.......100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 knots shifting to the northeast in the late evening and overnight. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. Showers with thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......80 percent. Max temperature.....84 to 86. Min humidity........34 to 36 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West to southwest winds around 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. LAL.................4. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Max Vent Rate.......Excellent. Clearing Index......1028. Mixing height.......10700 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 11100 ft AGL late in the afternoon, then decreasing to 800 ft AGL late in the afternoon. Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 knots shifting to the southwest around 10 knots early in the afternoon. $$ Forecaster...M TAYLOR Requested by...E-5268 Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2420065.0/FGZ .DELDT 08/11/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL azsdc@firenet.gov