338
FNUS75 KFGZ 121836
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Burke Mountain...Ft. Apache
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1136 AM MST Mon Aug 12 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1200 MST on August 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Chance for showers and thunderstorms today into this evening
and again Tuesday afternoon. Heavy rainfall and gusty erratic winds expected
around thunderstorms. Otherwise, near-normal temperatures with light winds
are expected. Drier air bring only sight chances for storms Wednesday and
Thursday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
                    Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....84 to 87.
Min humidity........30 to 35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph shifting to the west
                    in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Good.
Clearing Index......642.
Mixing height.......8400 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 11400
                    ft AGL late in the morning, then decreasing to
                    1100 ft AGL late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....North around 5 knots shifting to the southeast
                    late in the morning, then shifting to the south
                    early in the afternoon shifting to the east
                    late in the afternoon.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
                    evening.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....57 to 60.
Max humidity........80 to 85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    evening.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......3.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 knots shifting to the south in
                    the late evening and overnight.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....83 to 86.
Min humidity........30 to 33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......1034.
Mixing height.......10200 ft AGL in the morning and early afternoon
                    increasing to 11300 ft AGL late in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 0 to 5 knots shifting to the southwest in
                    the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...STUBBLEFIELD
Requested by...E-5268
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2420065.1/FGZ
.DELDT 08/12/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL azsdc@firenet.gov