Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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925
FNUS75 KFGZ 070052
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Black Mesa...AZ-PHD
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
552 PM MST Sat Jul 6 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 MST on July 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST TUESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...For tonight, expect clear skies and poor humidity recoveries,
with humidity struggling to exceed 30%. On Sunday, south to southwest wind
speeds will increase after the inversion lifts around 0900. Otherwise, temperatures
will climb into the triple-digits with afternoon humidity dipping below 15%.
Hot and very dry conditions continue on Monday.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....74-78.
Max humidity........29-33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South-southwest 8-14 mph with gusts 18-24 mph until 1900.
                    After 1900, southeast 5-10 mph, becoming downslope/down-valley
                    4-8 mph after midnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......2.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 knots shifting to the east
                    overnight.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....102-106.
Min humidity........10-14 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable 4-8 mph until 0900. After 0900, south 8-14 mph
                    with gusts 18-24 mph, shifting to the southwest after 1400.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......2393.
Mixing height.......9500 ft AGL in the morning and early afternoon
                    increasing to 12000 ft AGL late in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots shifting to the
                    southwest in the late morning and early
                    afternoon, then increasing to west around 20
                    knots late in the afternoon.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....76-80.
Max humidity........28-32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 8-14 mph with gusts 18-24 mph until 1900.
                    After 1900, southeast 5-10 mph, becoming downslope/down-valley
                    4-8 mph after midnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......3.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 knots shifting to the north
                    around 5 knots overnight.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy with a 10% chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....103-107.
Min humidity........8-12 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 5-10 mph with gusts 15-20 mph
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......1289.
Mixing height.......9100 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 13100
                    ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 0 to 5 knots in the late morning and
                    early afternoon, then shifting to the west late
                    in the afternoon.

A weather forecast table for your SPOT location is linked.
The information provided by this site is for planning purposes only
and is not intended to substitute information provided by an official
National Weather Service SPOT forecast.
https://www.weather.gov/dlh/fwd?lat=34.1892&lon=-112.1295&clat=34.1892&clon=-112.1295

$$
Forecaster...RICKEY
Requested by...Derrick Youngerman IC
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2417541.0/FGZ
.DELDT 07/06/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL azpdc@firenet.gov