Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
769
FNUS55 KFGZ 180853
FWFFGZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Arizona
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
153 AM MST Thu Jul 18 2024
+++ Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds +++
+++ 20-foot wind forecast of `light winds` indicates mainly
terrain driven winds +++
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...Today and Friday...Isolated to scattered showers and
storms (most numerous over the higher terrain) are expected each
afternoon and evening. Gusty and erratic outflow winds, small hail,
and heavy rainfall remain the main hazards. Daytime Winds generally
southwest to northwest 5 to 15 mph outside of storms, along with
slightly above normal temperatures.
Saturday through Monday...Scattered to widespread showers and storms
each afternoon and evening. Gusty and erratic outflow winds, small
hail, and heavy rainfall remain the main hazards. Winds generally
variable 5 to 15 mph outside of storms, along with slightly above
normal temperatures.
AZZ115-190115-
Western Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 115)-
Including the cities of Flagstaff, Williams, and Munds Park
153 AM MST Thu Jul 18 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....85-95.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the west 5 to
15 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low.
PoP.................40 percent.
LAL.................4.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL increasing to 9300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 5 knots shifting to the southwest
in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....49-59.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
PoP.................30 percent.
LAL.................3.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....86-96.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........North 5 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low.
PoP.................50 percent.
LAL.................4.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 87 to
97. Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs 84 to
94. Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 83 to 93.
Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ106-190115-
Grand Canyon Country (Fire Weather Zone 106)-
Including the cities of Grand Canyon Village, Supai,
and North Rim
153 AM MST Thu Jul 18 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....101-109 at the River...89-99 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13 percent at the River...15-20 percent at the
Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest
in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
PoP.................40 percent.
LAL.................3.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL increasing to 8600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....73-78 at the River...52-62 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........25-45 percent at the River...51-71 percent at
the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
PoP.................30 percent.
LAL.................3.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....101-108 at the River...90-100 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15 percent at the River...16-21 percent at the
Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph
with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20
mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low.
PoP.................40 percent.
LAL.................3.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL increasing to 8300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 98 to
108. Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 96 to 106.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 96 to 106.
Light winds.
$$
AZZ108-190115-
Yavapai County Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 108)-
Including the cities of Prescott, Seligman, Ash Fork,
and Crown King
153 AM MST Thu Jul 18 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 91 below 5000 feet...around 88 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest
5 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low.
PoP.................40 percent.
LAL.................3.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL increasing to 8000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 5 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....59-69.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........66-86 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
PoP.................30 percent.
LAL.................3.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 92 below 5000 feet...around 88 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........North 5 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
PoP.................40 percent.
LAL.................3.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL increasing to 8000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 93 to
103. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 91 to 101.
Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs 89 to
99. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ137-190115-
Yavapai County Valleys and Basins (Fire Weather Zone 137)-
Including the cities of Cottonwood, Camp Verde, Cordes Junction,
and Bagdad
153 AM MST Thu Jul 18 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....99-109.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest
in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
PoP.................20 percent.
LAL.................3.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....63-73.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........51-71 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph shifting to the north after
midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
PoP.................30 percent.
LAL.................3.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....100-110.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........14-19 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northwest
in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
PoP.................30 percent.
LAL.................3.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 102 to 112. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 98 to 108. Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the
morning, then shifting to the west in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 95 to 105.
Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ138-190115-
Oak Creek and Sycamore Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 138)-
Including the cities of Sedona and Village of Oak Creek
153 AM MST Thu Jul 18 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....92-102.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low.
PoP.................20 percent.
LAL.................3.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....68-76 below 5000 feet...61-71 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........30-50 percent below 5000 feet...43-63 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........West 5 to 15 mph shifting to the north after
midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
PoP.................30 percent.
LAL.................3.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....92-102.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........18-23 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph
with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........North 5 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
PoP.................40 percent.
LAL.................3.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 94 to
104. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs 91 to 101. Light
winds.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 88 to 98.
Light winds.
$$
AZZ105-190115-
Marble and Glen Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 105)-
Including the cities of Page and Lees Ferry
153 AM MST Thu Jul 18 2024 /253 AM MDT Thu Jul 18 2024/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....96-106.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
PoP.................30 percent.
LAL.................3.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....71-78.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........25-45 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
PoP.................20 percent.
LAL.................3.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....97-107.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........16 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low.
PoP.................40 percent.
LAL.................3.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 97 to 106. Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 94 to 104. Light winds becoming north around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 94 to 104. Light winds.
$$
AZZ104-190115-
Kaibab Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 104)-
Including the cities of Jacob Lake and Fredonia
153 AM MST Thu Jul 18 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....92-102 below 7000 feet...82-92 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........14-19 percent below 7000 feet...18-23 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest in
the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
PoP.................50 percent.
LAL.................3.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....61-70 below 7000 feet...49-59 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........40-60 percent below 7000 feet...60-80 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
PoP.................30 percent.
LAL.................3.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....93-102 below 7000 feet...83-93 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........16 percent below 7000 feet...18-23 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest 10 to 15 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low.
PoP.................50 percent.
LAL.................3.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 93 to
103. Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 92 to 102.
Light winds becoming north around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 91 to 101.
Light winds becoming north around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ107-190115-
Coconino Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 107)-
Including the city of Valle
153 AM MST Thu Jul 18 2024 /253 AM MDT Thu Jul 18 2024/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....90-98 on the Plateau...102-111 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15-20 percent on the Plateau...14 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph
with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest 5
to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
PoP.................50 percent.
LAL.................3.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....55-65 on the Plateau...70-79 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........64-84 percent on the Plateau...32-52 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
PoP.................30 percent.
LAL.................3.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....90-99 on the Plateau...102-111 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........16-21 percent on the Plateau...14 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph
with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20
mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low.
PoP.................40 percent.
LAL.................3.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 93 to
103. Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 91 to 101.
Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 90 to 100.
Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ109-190115-
Northeast Plateau And Mesas Hwy 264 Northward (Fire Weather Zone
109)-
Including the cities of Keams Canyon and Kaibito
153 AM MST Thu Jul 18 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....91-101.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest
5 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
PoP.................30 percent.
LAL.................3.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....61-71.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........48-68 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph decreasing to 5 to 10
mph after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
PoP.................30 percent.
LAL.................3.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....92-101.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........16 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph
with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low.
PoP.................20 percent.
LAL.................3.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 92 to 101. Light winds becoming north around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 89 to 98. Light winds becoming northeast around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 88 to 98. Light winds.
$$
AZZ140-190115-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264 (Fire Weather Zone
140)-
Including the cities of Dilkon and Kykotsmovi
153 AM MST Thu Jul 18 2024 /253 AM MDT Thu Jul 18 2024/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....91-100.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest
5 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low.
PoP.................30 percent.
LAL.................3.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
evening.
Min temperature.....62-70.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........47-67 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
PoP.................40 percent.
LAL.................3.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....91-101.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13-18 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph
with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........North 10 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low.
PoP.................30 percent.
LAL.................3.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 92 to
102. Light winds becoming north around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 88 to 98. East
winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the northeast in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 88 to 98.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the northeast in the
afternoon.
$$
AZZ110-190115-
Chinle Valley (Fire Weather Zone 110)-
Including the cities of Canyon De Chelly, Chinle, and Kayenta
253 AM MDT Thu Jul 18 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....86-95.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the west in
the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
PoP.................20 percent.
LAL.................3.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....60-68.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........54-74 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........North 5 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
PoP.................30 percent.
LAL.................3.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....87-97.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph
with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low.
PoP.................20 percent.
LAL.................3.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 87 to 95. Light winds becoming north around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 83 to 93. Southeast winds around 10 mph early in the
morning becoming light, then becoming north around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 83 to 93. Light winds becoming north around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
$$
AZZ111-190115-
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 111)-
Including the cities of Window Rock and Ganado
153 AM MST Thu Jul 18 2024 /253 AM MDT Thu Jul 18 2024/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....82-92.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
Free winds..........East around 5 mph shifting to the west in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low.
PoP.................40 percent.
LAL.................3.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL increasing to 7200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 5 knots shifting to the northwest
in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
evening.
Min temperature.....56-64.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........59-79 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph shifting to the northwest 5
to 10 mph after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
PoP.................40 percent.
LAL.................3.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....82-92.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........18-23 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph
with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
PoP.................50 percent.
LAL.................3.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL increasing to 11500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs
82 to 92. Light winds becoming north around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs 78 to
88. East winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the northeast in the
afternoon.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 77 to 87. East
winds 10 to 15 mph early in the morning becoming light.
$$
AZZ139-190115-
Black Mesa Area (Fire Weather Zone 139)-
153 AM MST Thu Jul 18 2024 /253 AM MDT Thu Jul 18 2024/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....85-93.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........16-21 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........East 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest 5 to
15 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
PoP.................40 percent.
LAL.................3.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....59-67.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........50-70 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........North 5 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
PoP.................30 percent.
LAL.................3.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....85-94.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........16-21 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph
with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low.
PoP.................30 percent.
LAL.................3.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 85 to 94. Light winds becoming north around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 82 to 90. Light winds becoming north around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 82 to 90. Light winds.
$$
AZZ112-190115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County (Fire Weather
Zone 112)-
Including the cities of Wupatki N.M. and Tuba City
153 AM MST Thu Jul 18 2024 /253 AM MDT Thu Jul 18 2024/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....95-105.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........12-17 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph
with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest
in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low.
PoP.................20 percent.
LAL.................3.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....65-73.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........40-60 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
PoP.................30 percent.
LAL.................3.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....96-106.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........12-17 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph
with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........North 5 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low.
PoP.................20 percent.
LAL.................3.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 97 to
107. Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph with gusts up
to 20 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 93 to 103.
Light winds becoming north around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 93 to 103.
Light winds.
$$
AZZ113-190115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County (Fire Weather Zone
113)-
Including the cities of Winslow, Holbrook, and Snowflake
153 AM MST Thu Jul 18 2024 /253 AM MDT Thu Jul 18 2024/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....90-100.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........14-19 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
20 mph.
Free winds..........South 5 to 15 mph shifting to the southwest in
the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low.
PoP.................30 percent.
LAL.................3.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL increasing to 8600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
evening, then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
Min temperature.....63-72.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........50-70 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph with gusts up to 20
mph in the evening becoming light.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
PoP.................40 percent.
LAL.................3.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....91-101.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........14-19 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........North 5 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
PoP.................20 percent.
LAL.................3.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL increasing to 11200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....East around 5 knots shifting to the north in
the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 92 to 102. Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph
with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 88 to 98.
Light winds becoming north around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 88 to 98. Light winds.
$$
AZZ114-190115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County (Fire Weather Zone
114)-
Including the cities of St. Johns and Springerville
153 AM MST Thu Jul 18 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....85-95.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........16-21 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northwest
in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low.
PoP.................50 percent.
LAL.................4.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
evening, then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 63 below 7000 feet...around 59 above
7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........65 percent below 7000 feet...74 percent above
7000 feet.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
PoP.................50 percent.
LAL.................4.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....85-95.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........16-21 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph
with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
PoP.................50 percent.
LAL.................4.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 86 to
96. Light winds becoming north around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs 82 to 92.
Southeast winds around 10 mph early in the morning becoming
light, then becoming northeast around 10 mph with gusts up to
20 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 81 to 91. East
winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the northeast in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ116-190115-
Eastern Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 116)-
Including the cities of Heber, Happy Jack, and Forest Lakes
153 AM MST Thu Jul 18 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....86-95 below 5000 feet...84-91 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........20-25 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
PoP.................40 percent.
LAL.................4.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
evening, then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
Min temperature.....62-68 below 5000 feet...58-65 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........52-72 percent below 5000 feet...58-78 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
PoP.................50 percent.
LAL.................4.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....87-95 below 5000 feet...84-92 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........20-30 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........North 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low.
PoP.................50 percent.
LAL.................4.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs
83 to 93. Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs 81 to 90. Light
winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 80 to 88.
Light winds.
$$
AZZ117-190115-
White Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 117)-
Including the cities of Show Low, Greer, and Pinetop
153 AM MST Thu Jul 18 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms in the morning, then rain showers
with thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....84-94 below 7000 feet...76-86 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........20-25 percent below 7000 feet...23-33 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 5 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
PoP.................80 percent.
LAL.................5.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....58-65 below 7000 feet...45-55 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........61-81 percent below 7000 feet...80-100 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........North 5 to 15 mph shifting to the northeast 5
to 10 mph after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
PoP.................50 percent.
LAL.................4.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the morning, then rain showers with
thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....84-93 below 7000 feet...76-86 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........18-28 percent below 7000 feet...25-35 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
PoP.................70 percent.
LAL.................5.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL increasing to 6400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs 84 to 94.
Light winds becoming northwest 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs 80 to
90. Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs 78 to
88. Light winds.
$$
AZZ118-190115-
Northern Gila County (Fire Weather Zone 118)-
Including the cities of Payson, Strawberry, and Young
153 AM MST Thu Jul 18 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....95-105 below 5000 feet...86-96 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........16-21 percent below 5000 feet...19-24 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 5 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low.
PoP.................30 percent.
LAL.................4.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
evening, then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
Min temperature.....64-74 below 5000 feet...60-70 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........54-74 percent below 5000 feet...66-86 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
PoP.................50 percent.
LAL.................4.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....96-106 below 5000 feet...87-97 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17-22 percent below 5000 feet...19-29 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........North 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
PoP.................60 percent.
LAL.................4.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs
95 to 105. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs 91 to 101. Light
winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 90 to 100.
Light winds.
$$
.6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK FOR JUL 23 - 27 2024...
Above normal temperatures and above normal precipitation.
=
$$
VENTILATION...Transport wind and mixing height are based
on the following points.
ZONE 115...Williams.......6750 FT MSL.
ZONE 106...Tusayan........6606 FT MSL.
ZONE 108...Prescott.......5052 FT MSL.
ZONE 111...Window Rock....6739 FT MSL.
ZONE 113...Winslow........4883 FT MSL.
ZONE 117...Whiteriver.....5225 FT MSL.
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria
established by each state.
$$