541
FXUS63 KFGF 091134
AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
634 AM CDT Tue Jul 9 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Heat builds in for Friday and Saturday with highs in the upper
  80s and 90s along with humidity.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 634 AM CDT Tue Jul 9 2024

Some quick moving patchy fog has developed across the region.
Lowest visibilities dropped down to 1/2 mile but they quickly
rise back to 4-5 miles about 30 minutes later. With how fast the
visibilities have rebounded and the sun being out now I didnt
see the need to mention it.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 347 AM CDT Tue Jul 9 2024

...Synopsis...

Today, the remnants of Beryl travels through the Central plains
redirecting most of our coastal moisture before another weak
shortwave passes through the northern plains later this evening
and into Wednesday. Most of our moisture content will probably
consist of whatever amount evapotransportation gives us from our
farm fields. Looking at differential water vapor confirms the
airmass over the Northern Plains is pretty dry throughout the
column. CAPE values remain at 1500 joules or less looking at the
latest cams with 0-3km SRH at maybe 100m2/s2. So we might get
some small funnels to form again today if a thunderstorm
collides with a boundary. Not quite sure how well these showers
will produce with very limited moisture to lift. So today will
the same as yesterday but with potentially less rain.

Thursday through this weekend. The robust ridge makes its way over
to the Northern Plains. The NWS heat risk has the CWA in a moderate
on Thursday and Friday with potentially major Saturday and
Sunday. Temperatures are forecasted to be in the 80`s and
potentially 90`s in some areas by this weekend. Wear sunscreen,
drink water, and eat light snacks to help subdue any impacts if
you`re outside for any part of the day. Multiple shortwaves are
depicted to migrate through the region at this time but overall
impacts are uncertain.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 634 AM CDT Tue Jul 9 2024

VFR conditions will remain throughout tomorrow morning with the
exception of being under thunderstorms. A line of showers are
slowly making their way down through Manitoba. KDVL and KGFK
look to possibly be the first affected. These showers may arrive
around 17z. Also sporadic showers may develop in the afternoon
due to diurnal heating. The airmass is pretty dry above us and
will need to saturate before any rain reaches the ground.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...MM
DISCUSSION...MM
AVIATION...MM