289
FXUS62 KFFC 111853
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
253 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2024

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Friday)
Issued at 250 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2024

Relatively dry conditions remain in place across north and central
Georgia within the post-frontal airmass. Dewpoints this afternoon
are expected to remain in the low 60s across the majority of the
area. With mostly clear skies, high temperatures will rise into the
low to mid 90s, with the exception of the higher elevations of
far north Georgia. Relative humidity values this afternoon will
remain outside of critical thresholds, mainly between 30-40
percent. The warming trend in temperatures will continue on
Friday. After the morning begins with lows in the upper 60s to low
70s, highs will increase into the mid to upper 90s. Some moisture
return could begin by late Friday afternoon as a strong Bermuda
high slides a bit to the southwest, promoting onshore flow off the
Atlantic. This will bring back some scattered showers and
thunderstorms across east central Georgia. As onshore flow
continues into Friday night, dewpoints will increase from east to
west through the overnight hours.

King

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday morning through next Wednesday)
Issued at 250 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2024

Highlights

-Isolated rain and thunder chances remain confined to the eastern
and southeastern portions of the forecast area through the weekend.

-A better opportunity for rain may occur mid-week next week.

-Gradually warming temperatures are expected over the next 7 days.

The long term forecast remains largely uneventful. The forecast area
will sit between a building midlevel ridge across the western U.S.
and another across the eastern Atlantic. Heading into next week, the
ridge to the west will begin to slow translate eastward encompassing
more of the Lower MS Valley and Southeast Regions. Given the lack of
any notable forcing, rain and thunder chances will be quite limited
through the weekend but may begin to increase by mid week as a cold
front looks to advance towards the region.

Additionally, NHC still has a 10% area noted just off the southeast
Atlantic Coast on the Tropical Weather Outlook. A weak low pressure
center associated with an unorganized area of showers and storms was
has a 10% chance of development over the next 48 hours. Though
latest guidance has this low and the activity associated with it
remaining disorganized and gliding northeast just off the coastline.
Again, any meaningful precipitation looks to be well to our east
with the majority of the forecast area being dry through the
weekend.

Gradually warming temperatures can also be expected over the next 7
days. With moisture trending slightly upward early next week, more
humid conditions can be expected. Forecast high temperatures early
next week may approach triple digits for some locations in Central
Georgia.

07

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 129 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2024

VFR conditions are expected to persist through the period, with a
widely scattered cu field around 050-060 in place this afternoon.
Scattered SHRA/TSRA will be possible in far east Georgia on
Friday afternoon, but is expected to remain to the east of all TAF
sites. Winds will be primarily NNE at 4-8 kts this afternoon, but
could see some brief movement to NNW. Winds will become light and
variable overnight, coming up from NE during the daytime on
Friday.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium confidence on wind directions.
High confidence on all other elements.

King

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          70  96  72  97 /   0  10  10  10
Atlanta         71  95  74  97 /   0  10   0  10
Blairsville     64  89  66  90 /   0  10  10  20
Cartersville    67  96  71  98 /   0  10   0  10
Columbus        71  98  74 100 /   0  10  10  10
Gainesville     70  93  73  96 /   0  10  10  10
Macon           70  97  74  99 /   0  10  10  10
Rome            67  96  70  98 /   0  10   0  10
Peachtree City  69  96  72  98 /   0  10   0  10
Vidalia         75  96  75  97 /   0  40  20  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...King
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...King