Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
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879 FXUS62 KFFC 112327 AFDFFC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 727 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2024 ...New 00Z Aviation Discussion... .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Friday) Issued at 250 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2024 Relatively dry conditions remain in place across north and central Georgia within the post-frontal airmass. Dewpoints this afternoon are expected to remain in the low 60s across the majority of the area. With mostly clear skies, high temperatures will rise into the low to mid 90s, with the exception of the higher elevations of far north Georgia. Relative humidity values this afternoon will remain outside of critical thresholds, mainly between 30-40 percent. The warming trend in temperatures will continue on Friday. After the morning begins with lows in the upper 60s to low 70s, highs will increase into the mid to upper 90s. Some moisture return could begin by late Friday afternoon as a strong Bermuda high slides a bit to the southwest, promoting onshore flow off the Atlantic. This will bring back some scattered showers and thunderstorms across east central Georgia. As onshore flow continues into Friday night, dewpoints will increase from east to west through the overnight hours. King && .LONG TERM... (Saturday morning through next Wednesday) Issued at 250 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2024 Highlights - Isolated rain and thunder chances remain confined to the eastern and southeastern portions of the forecast area through the weekend. - A better opportunity for rain may occur mid-week next week. - Gradually warming temperatures are expected over the next 7 days. The long term forecast remains largely uneventful. The forecast area will sit between a building midlevel ridge across the western U.S. and another across the eastern Atlantic. Heading into next week, the ridge to the west will begin to slow translate eastward encompassing more of the Lower MS Valley and Southeast Regions. Given the lack of any notable forcing, rain and thunder chances will be quite limited through the weekend but may begin to increase by mid week as a cold front looks to advance towards the region. Additionally, NHC still has a 10% area noted just off the southeast Atlantic Coast on the Tropical Weather Outlook. A weak low pressure center associated with an unorganized area of showers and storms was has a 10% chance of development over the next 48 hours. Though latest guidance has this low and the activity associated with it remaining disorganized and gliding northeast just off the coastline. Again, any meaningful precipitation looks to be well to our east with the majority of the forecast area being dry through the weekend. Gradually warming temperatures can also be expected over the next 7 days. With moisture trending slightly upward early next week, more humid conditions can be expected. Forecast high temperatures early next week may approach triple digits for some locations in Central Georgia. 07 && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 724 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2024 VFR conditions (FEW-BKN AOA 5000 ft AGL and unrestricted visibility) will continue in northern and central Georgia through 06Z Saturday. Winds will be light (6 kt or less) and variable. //ATL Confidence...00Z Update... Moderate overall confidence in the KATL TAF. High confidence in the ceiling, visibility and precipitation forecasts. Low confidence in the wind direction, but high confidence in wind speeds. Albright && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 70 96 72 97 / 0 10 10 10 Atlanta 71 95 74 97 / 0 10 0 10 Blairsville 64 89 66 90 / 0 10 10 20 Cartersville 67 96 71 98 / 0 10 0 10 Columbus 71 98 74 100 / 0 10 10 10 Gainesville 70 93 73 96 / 0 10 10 10 Macon 70 97 74 99 / 0 10 10 10 Rome 67 96 70 98 / 0 10 0 10 Peachtree City 69 96 72 98 / 0 10 0 10 Vidalia 75 96 75 97 / 0 40 20 30 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...King LONG TERM....07 AVIATION...Albright