941
FXUS64 KEWX 142318
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
618 PM CDT Sun Jul 14 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Monday night)
Issued at 216 PM CDT Sun Jul 14 2024

Weather conditions become much more quiet today and tomorrow
compared to previous days as mid-level high pressure from the east
builds over much of the area. To the west/northwest, an inverted
trough remains bringing some low end precipitation chances to our
far west this afternoon. Additionally, some isolated showers or
thunderstorms will be possible mainly around Lavaca and DeWitt
Counties. Dry conditions return this evening and look to remain
through tomorrow.

Afternoon cloud cover will limit high temperatures this afternoon to
the upper 80s to mid 90s. Clouds look to remain overnight shifting
to the south as the day goes on tomorrow. This will bring a slight
increase in high temperatures Monday from the mid 90s to around 100
degrees. Heat indices both today and tomorrow will be highest in
the coastal plains but should generally remain below Heat Advisory
criteria.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 216 PM CDT Sun Jul 14 2024

The beginning of the long term period will be dry with warming
temperatures as the upper ridge strengthens. Highs will climb back
above normal. Adding in the afternoon humidity may push heat indices
to the advisory level over the Coastal Plains Wednesday. There will
also be low chances for showers and thunderstorms Wednesday afternoon
over the Coastal Plains along a seabreeze boundary. Models continue
to bring a frontal boundary through north and central TX Thursday and
Friday. This will bring a chance for convection across the entire CWA
beginning Thursday afternoon and continuing through Friday afternoon.
As with any convection this time of year some places could receive a
quick inch of rain, but widespread heavy rain is not likely. The
upper ridge will remain weak over the weekend and diurnally driven
convection will be possible each afternoon and early evening Saturday
and Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 613 PM CDT Sun Jul 14 2024

VFR conditions are expected to prevail for the first 6 hours of the
00z TAF cycle. Hi-res model guidance continues to show the potential
for MVFR ceilings at the I-35 terminals starting between 08z and
10z. Have gone ahead and brought in MVFR prevailing conditions
through 15z Monday. After that time, VFR conditions should return to
finish out this TAF cycle. For KDRT, VFR conditions should prevail
for the duration of the 00z TAF cycle.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              76  98  75 100 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  75  97  73  98 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     75  97  74  97 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            75  97  73  98 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           79  99  79 101 /  10   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        75  97  74  98 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             75  96  72  96 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        74  96  72  97 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   76  96  74  95 /   0   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       77  97  74  97 /   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           77  97  74  98 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Short-Term...27
Long-Term...05
Aviation...36