Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
953 FNUS54 KEPZ 041043 FWFEPZ Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 443 AM MDT Thu Jul 4 2024 ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT... .DISCUSSION... Fire weather concerns are LOW to ELEVATED on Thursday. Much drier air will move into the forecast area with critically low Min RH values (10-15%) for most of the forecast area, excluding the Sacramento Mountains and Hudspeth County. High temperatures this afternoon will be 4 to 8 degrees warmer than yesterday with deep afternoon mixing of 10-15 thousands ft AGL. Winds will be light and mainly diurnal and terrain driven under weak west to northwest flow. A frontal boundary will push in from the east late this evening and into the early morning hours on Friday, winds will shift to the east with speeds of 10-20 mph during the overnight. Isolated to scattered showers and storms expected on Friday, generally along and west of the Rio Grande Valley. && ...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect sky cover amount... ...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows: Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft) Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft) Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft) Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft) Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established by the state of New Mexico. NMZ110-041845- Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ- 443 AM MDT Thu Jul 4 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) until 1200, then partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1200. * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....82-87. * Below 7500 ft....92-97. * 24 hr trend......7-12 degrees warmer. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....10-14 percent. * Below 7500 ft....10-14 percent. * 24 hr trend......13-18 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..North 16 mph. * Chc of precip.......10 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2. * Haines index........6. * Mixing height.......9900 ft AGL increasing to 15500 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....North around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (137400 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent). * Min temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....56-61. * Below 7500 ft....62-67. * 24 hr trend......Unchanged. * Max humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....22-27 percent. * Below 7500 ft....26-31 percent. * 24 hr trend......greater than 30 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......North winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 17 mph. * Chc of precip.......10 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........6. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent). Chance of rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....81-86. * Below 7500 ft....89-94. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....9-14 percent. * Below 7500 ft....11-16 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 17 mph. * Chc of precip.......20 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3. * Haines index........6. * Mixing height.......9000 ft AGL increasing to 15100 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (130500 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 85 to 90. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Clear. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 90 to 95. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 65. Highs 88 to 93. North winds around 5 mph. $$ NMZ111-041845- Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ- 443 AM MDT Thu Jul 4 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1200. * Max temperature.....97-102. * 24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer. * Min humidity........12-16 percent. * 24 hr trend......10-15 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..North 20 mph. * Chc of precip.......20 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3. * Haines index........6. * Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL increasing to 15300 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (133500 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min temperature.....67-71. * 24 hr trend......Unchanged. * Max humidity........48-53 percent. * 24 hr trend......15-25 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..North 17 mph. * Chc of precip.......20 percent. * LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1. * Haines index........6. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature.....95-99. * Min humidity........15-20 percent. * 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..East 18 mph. * Chc of precip.......30 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........6. * Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL increasing to 14400 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (128300 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs in the mid to upper 90s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 99 to 103. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 97 to 101. North winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NMZ112-041845- South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ- 443 AM MDT Thu Jul 4 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1200. * Max temperature.....98-103. * 24 hr trend......7-13 degrees warmer. * Min humidity........11-16 percent. * 24 hr trend......15-20 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the north in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL winds..North 10 mph. * Chc of precip.......10 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2. * Haines index........6. * Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL increasing to 15200 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....North around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (124000 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min temperature.....68-73. * 24 hr trend......Unchanged. * Max humidity........49-54 percent. * 24 hr trend......7-15 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..North 15 mph. * Chc of precip.......20 percent. * LAL.................2 until 2400, then 1. * Haines index........6. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature.....92-97. * Min humidity........22-27 percent. * 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..East 9 mph. * Chc of precip.......40 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........6. * Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL increasing to 11200 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....East around 15 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (102400 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 71. Highs 92 to 97. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 71. Highs 97 to 102. West winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 71. Highs 92 to 97. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NMZ113-041845- Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ- 443 AM MDT Thu Jul 4 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) until 1200, then partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1200. * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....80-85. * Below 7500 ft....91-96. * 24 hr trend......5-12 degrees warmer. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....20-25 percent. * Below 7500 ft....13-18 percent. * 24 hr trend......15-20 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the north in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL winds..North 8 mph. * Chc of precip.......20 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2. * Haines index........6. * Mixing height.......12200 ft AGL increasing to 14900 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (119000 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....53-58. * Below 7500 ft....59-64. * 24 hr trend......2-5 degrees cooler. * Max humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....84-89 percent. * Below 7500 ft....79-84 percent. * 24 hr trend......10-17 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 13 mph. * Chc of precip.......20 percent. * LAL.................3 until 2400, then 2. * Haines index........6. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....70-75. * Below 7500 ft....78-83. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....50-55 percent. * Below 7500 ft....41-46 percent. * 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph. * Chc of precip.......50 percent. * LAL.................3 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........4. * Mixing height.......5100-6400 ft AGL. * Transport winds.....East around 15 knots. * Vent category.......Fair (55200 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 55 to 60. Highs 81 to 86. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 87 to 92. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Not as warm. Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 56 to 61. Highs 77 to 82. East winds around 10 mph. $$ TXZ055-041845- Texas Fire Weather Zone 055 El Paso County- 443 AM MDT Thu Jul 4 2024 ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT... .TODAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms after 1200. * Max temperature.....100-104. * 24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer. * Min humidity........15-17 percent. * 24 hr trend......14 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 8 mph. * Chc of precip.......30 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3. * Haines index........4. * Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL increasing to 13500 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (102000 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min temperature.....75-79. * 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler. * Max humidity........52-57 percent. * 24 hr trend......3 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..North 8 mph. * Chc of precip.......30 percent. * LAL.................3. * Haines index........5. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature.....94-98. * Min humidity........26-28 percent. * 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..East 10 mph. * Chc of precip.......50 percent. * LAL.................3 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........4. * Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL increasing to 11000 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....East around 25 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (128100 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs in the mid to upper 90s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the 70s. Highs 100 to 104. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the 70s. Highs 96 to 100. East winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ TXZ056-041845- Texas Fire Weather Zone 056 Hudspeth County- 443 AM MDT Thu Jul 4 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1200. * Max temperature.....96-101. * 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer. * Min humidity........18-22 percent. * 24 hr trend......8 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the north in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL winds..North 9 mph. * Chc of precip.......50 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........4. * Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL increasing to 12900 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (103200 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. * Min temperature.....71-75. * 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler. * Max humidity........64-69 percent. * 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 12 mph. * Chc of precip.......40 percent. * LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3. * Haines index........5. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature.....89-94. * Min humidity........29-34 percent. * 20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..East 15 mph. * Chc of precip.......50 percent. * LAL.................3 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........3. * Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL increasing to 9700 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....East around 15 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (123800 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 72. Highs 90 to 95. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 96 to 101. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 92 to 97. East winds 5 to 10 mph. $$