Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
602 FNUS54 KEPZ 201101 FWFEPZ Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 501 AM MDT Sat Jul 20 2024 .DISCUSSION... Fire weather conditions are LOW. Min RH values this afternoon will be above 20 percent areawide, above 30 percent over the mountains. Temperatures will be very similar to yesterday, or a few degrees warmer. Winds light through the day and generally diurnal and terrain driven. Widespread showers and storms expected this afternoon and evening, storms will contain wetting rains, gusty/erratic winds, frequent lightning, and small hail. Flash flooding will be likely over the mountains, especially in and around area burn scars. Rain and storm chances continue on Sunday. && ...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect sky cover amount... ...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows: Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft) Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft) Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft) Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft) Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established by the state of New Mexico. NMZ110-201900- Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ- 501 AM MDT Sat Jul 20 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) until 1200, then partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Rain showers and thunderstorms after 1200. * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....78-83. * Below 7500 ft....87-92. * 24 hr trend......Unchanged. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....30-35 percent. * Below 7500 ft....26-31 percent. * 24 hr trend......1-3 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the southeast in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 9 mph. * Chc of precip.......90 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 5. * Haines index........5. * Mixing height.......8400 ft AGL increasing to 10900 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Good (72900 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Rain showers likely in the evening. Chance of thunderstorms through the night. Chance of rain showers after midnight. * Min temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....54-58. * Below 7500 ft....60-65. * 24 hr trend......Unchanged. * Max humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....82-87 percent. * Below 7500 ft....79-84 percent. * 24 hr trend......10-15 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..North 14 mph. * Chc of precip.......80 percent. * LAL.................4. * Haines index........3. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....72-77. * Below 7500 ft....81-86. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....42-47 percent. * Below 7500 ft....37-42 percent. * 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the southeast in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 9 mph. * Chc of precip.......100 percent. * LAL.................4 until 1200, then 5. * Haines index........4. * Mixing height.......5800-7100 ft AGL. * Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Fair (50900 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms. Lows 57 to 62. Highs 78 to 83. East winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Showers and thunderstorms. Lows 57 to 62. Highs 80 to 85. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Showers and thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 82 to 87. West winds around 5 mph. $$ NMZ111-201900- Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ- 501 AM MDT Sat Jul 20 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) until 1200, then partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1200. * Max temperature.....94-99. * 24 hr trend......Unchanged. * Min humidity........20-24 percent. * 24 hr trend......Unchanged. * 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 5 mph. * Chc of precip.......80 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........4. * Mixing height.......6700 ft AGL increasing to 12000 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....East around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Fair (57200 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Showers likely in the evening. Chance of thunderstorms through the night. Chance of showers after midnight. * Min temperature.....67-71. * 24 hr trend......Unchanged. * Max humidity........69-74 percent. * 24 hr trend......12-17 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 9 mph. * Chc of precip.......80 percent. * LAL.................4. * Haines index........4. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature.....89-93. * Min humidity........29-34 percent. * 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 10 mph. * Chc of precip.......80 percent. * LAL.................3 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........3. * Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL increasing to 9300 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....East around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Good (64500 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs near 90. East winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs near 90. East winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs in the lower to mid 90s. East winds around 5 mph. $$ NMZ112-201900- South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ- 501 AM MDT Sat Jul 20 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) until 1200, then partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1200. * Max temperature.....92-97. * 24 hr trend......1-3 degrees warmer. * Min humidity........21-25 percent. * 24 hr trend......1-3 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 9 mph. * Chc of precip.......60 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........4. * Mixing height.......7100 ft AGL increasing to 11400 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....South around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Good (61800 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. * Min temperature.....66-71. * 24 hr trend......Unchanged. * Max humidity........72-77 percent. * 24 hr trend......15-25 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..South 8 mph. * Chc of precip.......80 percent. * LAL.................4. * Haines index........4. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then rain showers with thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. * Max temperature.....84-89. * Min humidity........33-38 percent. * 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 7 mph. * Chc of precip.......80 percent. * LAL.................3 until 1200, then 5. * Haines index........3. * Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL increasing to 8200 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....East around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Fair (57000 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows 63 to 68. Highs 83 to 88. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 66. Highs 85 to 90. East winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 63 to 68. Highs 89 to 94. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$ NMZ113-201900- Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ- 501 AM MDT Sat Jul 20 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Rain showers and thunderstorms likely after 1200. * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....73-78. * Below 7500 ft....82-87. * 24 hr trend......Unchanged. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....43-48 percent. * Below 7500 ft....32-37 percent. * 24 hr trend......Unchanged. * 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the southeast in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 14 mph. * Chc of precip.......80 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 5. * Haines index........3. * Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL increasing to 9800 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....West around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Fair (59800 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. * Min temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....50-55. * Below 7500 ft....57-62. * 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler. * Max humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....92-97 percent. * Below 7500 ft....89-94 percent. * 24 hr trend......15-20 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..East 12 mph. * Chc of precip.......80 percent. * LAL.................4. * Haines index........3. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....64-69. * Below 7500 ft....73-78. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....62-67 percent. * Below 7500 ft....50-55 percent. * 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..East 9 mph. * Chc of precip.......90 percent. * LAL.................4 until 1200, then 5. * Haines index........3. * Mixing height.......4800-6200 ft AGL. * Transport winds.....East around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Fair (47400 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows 53 to 58. Highs 70 to 75. East winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 52 to 57. Highs 74 to 79. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 53 to 58. Highs 78 to 83. South winds around 5 mph. $$ TXZ055-201900- Texas Fire Weather Zone 055 El Paso County- 501 AM MDT Sat Jul 20 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) until 1200, then partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1200. * Max temperature.....95-99. * 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer. * Min humidity........21-23 percent. * 24 hr trend......1 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..South 7 mph. * Chc of precip.......40 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........3. * Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL increasing to 12000 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots. * Vent category.......Good (73500 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of showers in the evening. Chance of thunderstorms through the night. Showers likely after midnight. * Min temperature.....72-76. * 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler. * Max humidity........56-61 percent. * 24 hr trend......14 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 8 mph. * Chc of precip.......70 percent. * LAL.................4. * Haines index........3. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature.....89-93. * Min humidity........29-33 percent. * 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..South 6 mph. * Chc of precip.......70 percent. * LAL.................3 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........3. * Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL increasing to 8300 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....East around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Good (63500 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows near 70. Highs in the mid 80s to lower 90s. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs near 90. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs in the lower to mid 90s. East winds around 5 mph. $$ TXZ056-201900- Texas Fire Weather Zone 056 Hudspeth County- 501 AM MDT Sat Jul 20 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) until 1200, then partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1200. * Max temperature.....90-95. * 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer. * Min humidity........23-28 percent. * 24 hr trend......1 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 7 mph. * Chc of precip.......30 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........3. * Mixing height.......7900 ft AGL increasing to 11500 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Good (77500 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Min temperature.....68-72. * 24 hr trend......Unchanged. * Max humidity........61-66 percent. * 24 hr trend......12 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 10 mph. * Chc of precip.......50 percent. * LAL.................3. * Haines index........3. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature.....84-89. * Min humidity........34-39 percent. * 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..South 8 mph. * Chc of precip.......70 percent. * LAL.................3 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........3. * Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL increasing to 8400 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....East around 15 knots. * Vent category.......Good (74400 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows 64 to 69. Highs 80 to 85. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 83 to 88. East winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 87 to 92. East winds around 5 mph. $$