Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
747 ABPZ20 KNHC 160532 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Thu Aug 15 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Offshore of Southwestern Mexico: A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles south of the southwestern coast of Mexico are associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system during the next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form early next week while it moves west-northwestward away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. Western Portion of the East Pacific: A broad area of low pressure could form by this weekend well to the west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some slow development of this system is possible during the early and middle parts of next week while it moves generally westward across the western portion of the East Pacific. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Kelly