Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
225 ABPZ20 KNHC 170545 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Fri Aug 16 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Well Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP99): A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles off the southwestern coast of Mexico is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms to the west of its center. Upper-level winds are forecast to become more conducive for gradual development of this system over the weekend, and a tropical depression is likely to form early next week while it moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph across the central portion of the eastern Pacific. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. Western Portion of the East Pacific: An area of low pressure could form this weekend or early next week more than one thousand miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Slow development of this system is anticipated, and a tropical depression will likely form during the middle part of next week while it moves westward to west-northwestward across the western portion of the basin and into the Central Pacific basin. Information on this system`s development can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands: A small area of low pressure has formed well southeast of the Hawaiian islands. Some development of this system is possible this weekend into early next week while it moves across the western portion of the East Pacific and into the Central Pacific basin. By the middle of next week, the system could merge with a larger system to the east. Information on this system`s development can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. && The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on the web at hurricanes.gov $$ Forecaster Kelly