Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
202 ABPZ20 KNHC 171743 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Aug 17 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Well Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP99): A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles off the southwestern coast of Mexico continues to produce a distinct area of showers and thunderstorms that are showing signs of organization. Upper-level winds are forecast to be generally conducive for additional development of this system through the weekend, and a tropical depression is likely to form in the next couple of days while it moves west-northwestward at about 10 to 15 mph across the central portion of the eastern Pacific. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. Western Portion of the East Pacific: Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are associated with a broad trough of low pressure located more than one thousand miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. While this system may interact with another area of low pressure to its west-southwest over the next several days, some gradual development of this system is forecasted if it remains the dominant disturbance. A tropical depression is likely form during the middle part of next week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward over the western portion of the basin and into the Central Pacific basin by the end of the week. Information on this system`s development can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands: A small area of low pressure located well southeast of the Hawaiian Islands is associated with some disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some development of this system is possible this weekend into early next week while it moves slowly over the western portion of the East Pacific or Central Pacific basin. By the middle of next week, this system could merge with a larger system developing to its east. Information on this system`s development can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. && The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on the web at hurricanes.gov $$ Forecaster Papin