Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Eureka, CA

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099
FNUS76 KEKA 032014
FWSEKA

Spot Forecast for Shelter Cove 4th of July preposition...Shelter Cove Fire
National Weather Service Eureka CA
114 PM PDT Wed Jul 3 2024

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

If you have questions or concerns regarding this forecast, please
contact our office at (707) 443-6484

Please do not respond directly if you have received this in an email.

.DISCUSSION...Winds are forecast to significantly weaken this evening and
turn southerly tonight, remaining southerly through most of Thursday. Winds
then weaken Thursday night and turn back to the NW Friday. Stratus is
forecast to develop along the coast between Shelter Cove and Pt. Reyes
tonight, with a very shallow layer of fog possibly forming offshore.
South winds likely advect any forming stratus northward toward the
Lost Coast late tonight...although models are incoherent on where stratus
may form, so its arrival time is uncertain (if it arrives at all).
Should stratus reach the Cove, the most likely arrival time is early
Thursday morning.

Light winds and model dissonance make the cloud forecast for Thurs highly
uncertain...although the potential for a southerly surge exists. If the
cloud forms and moves onshore in the morning, guidance is split on the
potential for clearing Thursday afternoon...however if cloud forms it
likely will stick around and move back onshore Thursday evening.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Stratus and fog possibly moving in
early in the morning.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
Max humidity........Around 70 percent.
Surface winds.......Variable 1 to 3 mph...becoming southeast around
                    5 mph late in the night.

TIME (PDT)      11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........44  44  44  44  44  44  42
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............73  71  71  70  68  68  67
RH..............37  40  39  39  40  41  41
Surface wnd dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   SE
Surface wnd spd.2   2   2   2   2   2   5
Surface wnd gst.5   5   5   5   5   5

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...

Sky/weather.........Possibly cloudy in the morning, with potential for
clearing in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Surface winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph early in the
                    morning...becoming variable 1 to 3 mph.

TIME (PDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........42  42  42  42  42  42  42  42  46  46  46  42
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............67  67  69  70  73  75  73  74  75  76  76  76
RH..............44  43  42  41  47  45  49  48  45  42  42  42
Surface wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Surface wnd spd.5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   1   1   1   1
Surface wnd gst.        5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3   3   5

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Stratus possibly moves back onshore
in the evening if it is in the area.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........50 percent.
Surface winds.......Variable 1 to 3 mph.

TIME (PDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........42  42  13  13  13  17  17  17  20  20  20  14
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............74  73  71  69  68  67  67  66  66  66  66  66
RH..............47  47  47  47  47  47  47  48  49  49  50  50
Surface wnd dir.S   S   W   W   W   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE
Surface wnd spd.1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Surface wnd gst.5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   3

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Clouds possible in the morning, then clearing in
the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Surface winds.......Variable 1 to 3 mph.

TIME (PDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........14  14  13  13  13  18  18  18  21  21  21  12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............67  68  69  71  74  75  76  76  76  76  76  75
RH..............50  50  50  49  47  46  46  47  47  46  44  44
Surface wnd dir.NE  NE  E   E   E   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Surface wnd spd.1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Surface wnd gst.3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   6

$$
Forecaster...Jewel
Requested by...Fire Chief
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 2417324.0/EKA
.DELDT 07/03/24
.EMAIL nick@sheltercove-ca.gov