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Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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139 WUUS01 KWNS 160045 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0743 PM CDT THU AUG 15 2024 VALID TIME 160100Z - 161200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 39979473 40769477 41749256 43479015 43708937 43608870 42858781 42028732 40328735 38558761 37638748 37018831 37029048 37189255 38349376 39979473 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 34519971 34730032 35910037 36449974 37129837 37749640 38799512 39739546 40299749 41779854 42659855 43519598 44339266 44679093 44658903 42638555 41188535 39158596 37358722 36388913 36019079 35629376 34629781 34519971 0.15 42248793 41768748 40128771 38718825 37318983 36749169 36609319 36279549 37039609 38109434 38939405 39969479 40759488 41519387 42169215 42568989 42678888 42248793 && ... WIND ... 0.05 42381283 42751372 45341510 47671476 48321435 48221373 46271196 45490991 44680864 43860870 43211016 42601167 42381283 0.05 34279943 34780032 35930034 36469971 37089843 37719653 38819512 39759540 40259748 41759856 42659855 43449611 44339262 44689090 44688910 43608717 41948450 41208436 40078481 39108543 37778563 36658651 36288803 35919098 35409397 34239779 34279943 0.15 38568698 37408729 36868793 36539083 36529264 36279460 35649613 35009788 35159908 35789909 37019609 38139425 38929407 39939479 40719488 41509387 42149217 42449080 42598973 42678889 42438825 41758725 40428688 38568698 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 38949407 39969479 40739489 41509387 42149217 42568993 42688892 42368818 41758725 40428688 38548697 37388728 36858793 36539083 36539262 36279455 35669604 35009792 35179909 35739910 36449747 37019613 38139429 38949407 MRGL 47721322 46261198 45460984 44730867 43890868 43161024 42571180 42381281 42741371 45341510 47671476 48321435 48241371 47721322 MRGL 36479968 37129836 37679648 38799512 39749543 40299751 41759858 42659856 43479607 44689090 44688910 43608717 41948450 41208436 40058481 39108544 37788562 36648651 36288805 35409397 34239782 34259940 34780032 35930037 36479968 TSTM 49941038 47520954 44990708 42380407 41210213 40470129 38450115 36720326 36700490 39450517 40220880 41611375 43271631 44541933 45931990 46682072 49592139 99999999 30930904 32790759 33360597 33130426 33590325 35220213 36750012 37859716 38849581 39499636 40219846 41630022 42660085 43950030 44979911 45309597 46129406 47479348 48649043 99999999 42688180 39848251 38238329 36598490 35258692 33718820 32068849 31048732 29898597 26648292 26988188 26938080 26767929 99999999 28829290 31419309 33839194 34659202 35139301 34759427 34169556 32889745 32569887 32030105 31370196 29360242 99999999 40557114 42407355 43717401 45977384 99999999 46746674 45856862 44717010 43517042 42626917 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE MKC 15 NNE STJ 30 E SDA 10 W DSM 30 NW CID 40 ENE DBQ JVL 35 SW RAC 25 NNW VPZ LAF 45 SSW BMG 25 SSW OWB 30 WNW HOP 25 SW POF 25 NNW FLP 25 SSE GMJ 40 W MKO CHK 15 SSE CSM 30 N CSM 25 ENE END 15 NNW BVO 55 SSE OJC 30 ESE MKC. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SE GPI 25 S HLN 35 ESE LVM 25 NE COD 35 W WRL 40 SE JAC 35 NE MLD 30 WNW MLD 15 NNE BYI 60 ENE MYL 30 E 3TH GPI 25 ESE GPI 65 SE GPI. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 WSW AVK 15 SE P28 50 SSW EMP 20 W OJC 25 SSE FNB 40 W BIE 30 E BUB 15 NNE ONL 25 WSW OTG 30 ESE EAU 30 ESE CWA 45 SE MTW 25 S JXN 40 WNW FDY 35 WNW DAY 55 W LUK 30 SSE SDF 25 SSW BWG 40 SW HOP 25 ENE FSM 45 ENE SPS 30 SSW LTS 25 N CDS 60 ENE BGD 60 WSW AVK. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 NNW HVR 35 N LWT 15 NNW SHR 20 N TOR 45 E SNY 20 ESE IML 45 NNW GCK 20 NNW CAO 20 W RTN 25 SW DEN 40 ESE VEL 65 NNE ENV 20 SSW BOI 70 NNW BNO 55 WNW PDT 10 NW YKM 75 NE BLI ...CONT... 50 SE DUG 35 ENE SVC 25 WSW SRR 20 SE ROW 55 S CVS 25 W AMA 50 ESE LBL 20 NE ICT 20 SSW TOP 30 NE MHK 25 S HSI 35 WNW BBW 20 SW VTN 30 S PIR 45 SW ABR 20 E VVV 20 S BRD 30 WNW HIB 60 N GNA ...CONT... 55 E MTC 25 ESE CMH 40 WSW HTS 45 NNE CSV 40 N HSV 15 ENE CBM 25 SE MEI 30 SSW GZH 30 SW PFN 55 SSW SRQ 25 N FMY 45 WNW PBI 50 E PBI ...CONT... 80 SW 7R4 25 S IER 15 NW LLQ 15 ESE LIT 10 SSE RUE 25 SE RKR 35 N PRX FTW 45 WNW SEP 30 ESE BGS 40 SSE MAF 50 SSW 6R6 ...CONT... 50 SSE BID 15 W PSF 35 NW GFL 85 NE MSS ...CONT... 60 E CAR 45 WSW HUL 30 NNW AUG 10 SSW PWM 85 NE HYA.